Part of: Which Region will get the Most Series Wins During the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage
Will LPL (China) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage
This market asks whether China’s LPL region will win the most series in the MSI 2026 knockout stage, currently scheduled for June 28–July 12, 2026. PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds and $8,682 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 94% winner on a thin market. The market resolves by knockout-stage series wins, with ties broken by game differential and then head-to-head series differential.
This market will resolve according to the region that wins the most series in the knockout stage of the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Intra-region series will count for one series win for the purposes of this market. In case of a tie the market will resolve based on the region with higher game differential. If a tie persists, the market will resolve to the region with the better head to head series differential. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the region with the highest placing single team. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the region that comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,682.
Categories: league of legends, lol, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
94% winner on thin market
A high-win-rate wallet made a large No bet in a very thin esports futures market, taking 72% of daily volume and getting immediate price movement from 75¢ to 90¢.
- This bettor has won 94% of resolved bets and is up $5.1k lifetime.
- The $8.7k No buy was 72% of the market’s 24h volume in a thin book.
- Their 75¢ entry has already moved to 90¢, suggesting strong follow-through.
$8,682 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x515e...8309 — No, $10,904 (94% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Yes, $9,538 (98% win rate)
- 0xa4de...3920 — Yes, $583 (51% win rate)
- 0x6e24...8266 — Yes, $517
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $475
- 0x2ad9...0eae — Yes, $450 (78% win rate)
- 0x09b2...a017 — Yes, $379 (48% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — No, $111 (75% win rate)
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — No, $104
- 0x7417...8329 — Yes, $60
Related Theses
No US-Iran peace deal
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