Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $94,428.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

97% winner backing underdog

Elite 97% winner with $3.59M lifetime profit is buying Team Spirit alongside heavy one-sided flow from 9 wallets.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
  • They put $13.3k on Team Spirit, despite the market now pricing Spirit around 28%.
  • Nine wallets are buying the same side, totaling $34.1k in one-sided Team Spirit flow.

$13,300 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% win-rate esports sharp

Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $3.6M profit is buying $17k of Team Spirit and has broader cross-market positioning on the same event.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They put $17k on Team Spirit around 29¢–30¢, implying a strong view against the 70% Aurora market favorite.
  • This wallet is active across 3 markets in the same event, with $98k positioned and a long record of profitable cross-market betting.

$17,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable esports sharp

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% winner is buying Team Spirit at 29¢ after a major repricing lower.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $9.6k lifetime.
  • They bought Team Spirit at 29¢ after the price fell from the mid-50s, suggesting a contrarian read.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies about a 3.4x payout if Team Spirit wins.

$1,500 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% winner buying underdog

Elite esports bettor with a 94% historical win rate and $3.1M profit bought nearly $10k of Aurora amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 476 related events with the same 94% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
  • A $9.9k buy on Aurora at 45¢ came during a 90x pre-event volume spike.

$9,914 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

99% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable bettor with a 99% historical win rate bought Aurora at 50¢, backed by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 303 of 307 resolved positions and is up $192k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with the same 99% win rate.
  • Aurora has drifted from their 50¢ entry to 44¢, giving a cheaper copy entry than the sharp paid.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 99%

Elite winners cluster

High-scoring Team Spirit cluster led by extremely profitable wallets, including a 97% winner up $3.59M and a new repeat large bettor already up $28k.

  • A bettor who wins 97% of their bets and is up $3.59M joined this side.
  • Three wallets bought Team Spirit together for $5.9k around 55–57¢.
  • One is a 1-day-old repeat large bettor already up $28k across flagged trades.

$5,887 on Team Spirit

94% winner leads Aurora cluster

A highly profitable 94% win-rate esports bettor is leading a three-wallet Aurora buy cluster during a major pre-match volume spike.

  • The lead bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $14.8K of Aurora at 45¢ in the same 10-minute window.
  • Market volume is 106x above its historical average, suggesting strong pre-match positioning.

$14,806 on Aurora

97% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought $8k of Team Spirit amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 197 of 204 resolved bets and is up $3.59M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 134 events with a 97% win rate.
  • Market activity spiked 140x before the match, and this wallet bought Team Spirit at 56¢.

$8,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% winner backs favorite

Elite Dota/esports trader with a 97% resolved win rate and $3.59M profit is buying Team Spirit at 54¢.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
  • They have traded 134 events and $7.8M total, showing a long pattern of successful cross-market betting.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies they see Team Spirit as underpriced despite only being a slight favorite.

$3,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% win-rate esports sharp

Elite 97% win-rate sports bettor with $3.6M lifetime profit bought $7k of Team Spirit at 54¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 134 events with a 97% hit rate, making the wallet itself the main signal.
  • Entry at 54¢ implies they see Team Spirit as meaningfully undervalued in a liquid market.

$7,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 40194007, $123,605 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x47b3...039c Outcome 40194007, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  3. 0x1501...a163 Outcome 40194007, $9,441 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xc04e...75d9 Outcome 40194007, $7,578 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x5038...6236 Outcome 40194007, $5,945 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x4574...273d Outcome 40194007, $5,500 (92% win rate)
  7. 0xfd1b...e3b3 Outcome 40194007, $4,403 (59% win rate)
  8. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 40194007, $2,342 (51% win rate)
  9. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 40194007, $2,000 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x1956...750e Outcome 40194007, $1,956 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$94,428 tracked14 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
76¢
58¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$13,300 on Team Spirit at 38¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$17,000 on Team Spirit at 29¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$1,500 on Team Spirit at 29¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$9,914 on Aurora at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 50¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$5,887 on Team Spirit at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$14,806 on Aurora at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$8,000 on Team Spirit at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$3,000 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$7,000 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$3,021 on Team Spirit at 55¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$3,000 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$3,500 on Aurora at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

6d ago

$2,500 on Team Spirit at 58¢

Related Theses