Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Culture, Eurovision, Music, Awards

Notable Trades

New wallet chasing momentum

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $2k on Yes in a thin market with strong recent upward momentum, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited track record.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already made $4.5k in flagged large bets and is up $701 on its first resolved trade.
  • The $2k buy was bigger than the market’s recent daily volume, a strong conviction signal in a thin order book.
  • Yes has already moved up 42 points this week, so this trade is adding into clear momentum.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe98...59b7 Outcome 42245838, $2,758 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x6136...64f8 Outcome 42245838, $1,847
  3. 0x285b...f3d3 Outcome 42245838, $993
  4. 0xe66e...946b Outcome 42245838, $816
  5. 0x0ba3...8cb2 Outcome 42245838, $570
  6. 0x56e3...81cc Outcome 42245838, $514 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xa757...d062 Outcome 42245838, $400
  8. 0xf021...df56 Outcome 42245838, $343
  9. 0xcb14...5358 Outcome 42245838, $300
  10. 0x4c44...4f2a Outcome 42245838, $297

Related Theses

Greece and Israel top five

Covers 2 related markets

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 3$2,000 tracked1 signalCultureEurovisionMusicAwards

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

46d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 73¢

Related Theses