Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Culture, Eurovision, Music, Awards

Notable Trades

New wallet chasing momentum

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor is putting $2k on Yes in a thin market with strong recent upward momentum, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited track record.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already made $4.5k in flagged large bets and is up $701 on its first resolved trade.
  • The $2k buy was bigger than the market’s recent daily volume, a strong conviction signal in a thin order book.
  • Yes has already moved up 42 points this week, so this trade is adding into clear momentum.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe98...59b7 Yes, $2,758 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x7a5d...54db No, $858 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x7d3f...fec2 No, $798 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x54db...0174 No, $500
  5. 0x04d7...b035 Yes, $382 (25% win rate)
  6. 0xc7d0...1f8a No, $380
  7. 0x51fd...4272 Yes, $372
  8. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $328
  9. 0x168a...da29 No, $276
  10. 0x16cb...2704 No, $264 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Greece and Israel top five

Covers 2 related markets

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 3$2,000 tracked1 signalCultureEurovisionMusicAwards
Yes
71¢
No
30¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
73¢
47¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

55m ago

$2,000 on Yes at 73¢

73¢71¢2¢

Related Theses