Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,698.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, S&P 500, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with a 1,747-bet track record is buying SPY Up at 62¢, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 1,747 resolved bets and is up about $129,620 lifetime.
  • They have a long pattern of cross-market positioning, with 33 events and about $240,787 in tracked flow.
  • Entry at 62¢ suggests they see SPY finishing higher today despite a fairly liquid market.

$3,468 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial macro trader

Profitable high-volume wallet with a 1,747-bet history is buying Up on SPY after repeatedly trading across related markets.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 1,747 resolved bets and is up about $129,620 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 33 related events with about $239,786 deployed, showing a repeat macro-market pattern.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests they see SPY Up as meaningfully better than a coin flip today.

$1,001 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial macro bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader placed a relatively large bet on a quiet SPY daily market despite the price moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 1,747 resolved trades and is up $129K lifetime.
  • Their $3.2K buy was large for this quiet market, equal to 67% of the past day’s volume.
  • They have traded across 32 related events with $236K in detected cross-market volume.

$3,230 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa97e...24ff Outcome 24917084, $3,000
  2. 0x5ddb...ed44 Outcome 24917084, $634
  3. 0x6c5c...df53 Outcome 24917084, $455
  4. 0xbada...d874 Outcome 24917084, $432
  5. 0x204b...8ca3 Outcome 24917084, $236
  6. 0xc26d...555a Outcome 24917084, $210
  7. 0x6436...da96 Outcome 24917084, $210 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xdaee...8559 Outcome 24917084, $147 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 24917084, $144 (69% win rate)
  10. 0x9584...3be1 Outcome 24917084, $136

Related Theses

SPY rises on May 22

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S&P 500 rises May 28

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S&P 500 rises May 26

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SPY rises on June 1

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S&P 500 falls May 29

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S&P rises on June 1

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SPY rises on June 24

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SPY will fall June 3

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SPY rises on June 9

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 rises June 16

Covers 1 related market

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

ResolvedSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?$7,698 tracked3 signalsFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYS&P 500Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 11, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 11, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Notable Trades

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

42d ago

$3,468 on Up at 62¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

42d ago

$1,001 on Up at 57¢

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11?

42d ago

$3,230 on Up at 43¢

Related Theses