Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Astralis and paiN in Round 4 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. PolySpotter is tracking $1,541 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp esports activity on both the underdog and Astralis; check the live market for current odds before the June 8, 2026 resolution window.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $119,538.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

4-wallet funded underdog cluster

A known 4-wallet funded cluster is buying Astralis, though the position is currently underwater and the wallet's track record is only modestly positive.

  • Four wallets funded by the same address are taking the same side, with this wallet adding $5.6k.
  • This wallet is profitable overall, up $72k across $3.3M traded, but only wins 53% of resolved bets.
  • Astralis has dropped from their 38¢ entry to 26¢, so the cluster is early and currently underwater.

$5,643 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 53%

Sharp esports bettor on paiN

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% long-term win record and over $500k profit bought paiN despite only a modest single-trade size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $504k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 170 events with the same 79% win record.
  • Entry at 62¢ suggests they see paiN as meaningfully stronger than Astralis here.

$1,677 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor bought paiN early at 40¢ before the market moved to 64¢, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has 7,151 resolved trades and is up $138k lifetime.
  • They bought paiN at 40¢ before the price jumped to 64¢.
  • Market volume spiked 56x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.

$1,541 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 56%

97% winner bought early

Elite esports bettor with a 97% historical win rate and nearly $923k profit bought Astralis at 54%, well before the market moved to 70%.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $923k lifetime.
  • They bought Astralis at 54%, and the market has already moved to 70%.
  • This wallet has traded across 134 events with the same 97% hit rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.

$1,300 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 97%

89% win-rate sharp

A highly profitable 89% winner with a long cross-market track record bought Astralis despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $163K lifetime.
  • They have traded 114 markets across 88 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought Astralis at 67¢; the market is now 57¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.

$3,989 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 89%

Elite bettor on Astralis

Proven high-volume winner with 77% historical win rate and $3.19M profit bought Astralis despite the market moving slightly against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.19M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $5.1M deployed across 824 markets.
  • They bought Astralis at 62¢; the market is now around 57–58¢, offering a better price than their entry.

$3,998 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% winner buying underdog

Elite 94% winning wallet with $1.37M profit is buying paiN alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.37M lifetime.
  • They bought $6.3K of paiN around 41–42¢, implying they see value in the underdog.
  • Other wallets are piling in too: 6 wallets bought the same side for about $20K amid a 30x+ volume spike.

$6,284 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp funded cluster buying Astralis

Surface this: a 5-wallet Astralis cluster includes a 95% winning bettor up $236k, linked wallets, and a 30x pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 95% of their bets is backing Astralis and is up $236,734 lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for $21,024, with four wallets sharing the same funder.
  • Volume is nearly 30x normal, and the entry around 38¢ implies a strong underdog conviction.

$21,024 on Astralis

Sharp serial esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with an 86% record bought Astralis, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $41.6K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events with the same 86% win rate.
  • Three wallets bought Astralis the same way, while market volume spiked 118x before the match.

$2,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 86%

Proven esports sharp buying Astralis

A highly profitable serial sports/esports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate bought Astralis amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.19M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 508 events with over $5.1M traded.
  • Astralis was bought at 60¢ during a 108x pre-event volume spike, and the market is now cheaper around 56¢.

$4,743 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xee00...cea1 paiN, $128,197 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x1136...0c2e Astralis, $96,285 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x73e3...1be9 paiN, $84,108 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xdb85...152f paiN, $50,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xcf60...a6f5 Astralis, $50,000 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x6adc...beba Astralis, $41,491 (33% win rate)
  7. 0x5257...3e2a Astralis, $31,140 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x9854...6bf2 Astralis, $30,000 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x0a63...fc03 Astralis, $24,129 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x20f4...15e1 paiN, $21,352

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Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

3hCounter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$119,538 tracked23 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Astralis
26¢
paiN
75¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “paiN
99¢
68¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

40m ago

$5,643 on Astralis at 38¢

38¢26¢12¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

40m ago

$1,677 on paiN at 62¢

62¢75¢13¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

59m ago

$1,541 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$1,300 on Astralis at 54¢

54¢26¢28¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$3,989 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢26¢41¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$3,998 on Astralis at 62¢

62¢26¢36¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$6,284 on paiN at 42¢

42¢75¢33¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

46m ago

$21,024 on Astralis at 38¢

38¢26¢12¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$2,000 on Astralis at 65¢

65¢26¢39¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$4,743 on Astralis at 60¢

60¢26¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$1,200 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$21,939 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

2h ago

$20,000 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

2h ago

$1,200 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

2h ago

$4,880 on Astralis at 61¢

61¢26¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

2h ago

$1,975 on Astralis at 61¢

61¢26¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

2h ago

$4,000 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

5h ago

$3,395 on Astralis at 61¢

61¢26¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

6h ago

$2,000 on Astralis at 61¢

61¢26¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

12h ago

$1,600 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

13h ago

$1,689 on paiN at 40¢

40¢75¢35¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

14h ago

$1,943 on Astralis at 58¢

58¢26¢32¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

14h ago

$1,518 on Astralis at 60¢

60¢26¢34¢

Related Theses