Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,385.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Three-wallet No conviction cluster
Three wallets converged on No around 50%, including two profitable bettors, and the coordinated flow coincided with a 21-point Yes price drop.
- Three wallets committed $4,041 to No, with entries near 50%, before Yes fell 21 percentage points.
- Two participating bettors are profitable overall, with win rates of 58% and 60%.
- One wallet added to an existing No position, while another made a fresh $1,326 purchase, indicating continued conviction.
$4,041 on No
95% win-rate bettor buys Yes
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and +45 percentage-point edge bought Yes, though the broader cluster includes weaker traders and the market has since fallen sharply.
- The lead bettor wins 95% of 322 positions, is up $1.56 million, and historically buys at an average 50% price.
- Four wallets committed $6,801 to Yes, including three purchases around 71–74%, showing concentrated conviction.
- The market is now priced at 24% after these entries, so the trade is high-risk despite the lead bettor’s exceptional record.
$11,763 on Yes
95% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven bettor bought Real Racing Club at 43% before the market surged to 72%, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the current unfavorable price.
- This bettor has won 95% of 322 resolved positions and is up $1.56 million.
- They bought Yes at 43%, while the market has since risen to 72%, strongly validating the position.
- The trade was part of a serial cross-market strategy spanning 307 events and $1.74 million in volume.
$2,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfaeb...e98e — Outcome 41228033, $10,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10138863, $8,593
- 0xaaca...f5d5 — Outcome 41228033, $8,017 (74% win rate)
- 0x1bc8...2f68 — Outcome 41228033, $6,800 (96% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 41228033, $6,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x86f4...bd70 — Outcome 41228033, $5,880 (91% win rate)
- 0x9f41...8f27 — Outcome 41228033, $5,668 (82% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 41228033, $2,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xd6cc...be4e — Outcome 41228033, $1,820 (52% win rate)
- 0xcb9f...345c — Outcome 41228033, $1,383 (84% win rate)
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