Part of: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
This League of Legends prediction market covers the Game 2 winner between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend match scheduled for August 23, 2026. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 2; PolySpotter tracks $67,291 in smart money across four signals, while live odds may change as the match approaches.
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,127.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
94% winner leads ThunderTalk cluster
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate made a $23.7K ThunderTalk position amid a nine-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 94% of 304 resolved positions and is up $13.0M lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought ThunderTalk for a combined $49.3K, alongside a 1,612x pre-event volume spike.
- The wallet invested $23.7K at an average entry near 46.4%, closely matching the current market price.
$26,536 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp bettors buying LGD together
A large coordinated LGD buy includes several highly profitable esports traders, though opposing ThunderTalk flow makes the signal less clean.
- Eight wallets committed roughly $34,000 to LGD, including bettors with 86% and 97% win rates across substantial samples.
- The strongest participants have earned $1.67 million and $60,000 respectively, with entries implying meaningful edge over market odds.
- An opposing ThunderTalk cluster is also present, so the direction is notable but not unambiguous.
$34,648 on LGD Gaming
54-0 bettor scales into ThunderTalk
A proven 54-0 bettor is adding to ThunderTalk at 45¢ amid a nine-wallet one-sided surge and an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 54 resolved positions, earning $109,787 while buying at an average 52% price.
- Nine wallets are buying ThunderTalk for $49,328, alongside a 1,612x surge over normal 24-hour volume.
- The wallet is adding to an existing ThunderTalk position at 45¢, below the current 46%–47% market range.
$1,350 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor scaling into ThunderTalk
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate added $7,932 to ThunderTalk at 41%, alongside nine wallets betting the same outcome and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 81% of 63 resolved trades and is up $172,850.
- They added $7,932 at 41¢ while already holding a $19,345 ThunderTalk position.
- Nine wallets bought ThunderTalk for $49,328 combined, with the price rising to 46¢ amid a 1,612× volume spike.
$7,932 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
94% winner leads ThunderTalk cluster
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate made a $23.7K ThunderTalk position amid a nine-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 94% of 304 resolved positions and is up $13.0M lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought ThunderTalk for a combined $49.3K, alongside a 1,612x pre-event volume spike.
- The wallet invested $23.7K at an average entry near 46.4%, closely matching the current market price.
$23,661 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%
97% winner scaling into LGD
A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and 41-point edge over implied odds is adding $3,000 to an existing LGD position in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 31 of 32 resolved positions, with a $57,228 profit and an average entry price of 57%.
- They added $3,000 to an existing LGD Gaming position, bringing their investment to $8,000 on the outcome.
- The trade represented 69% of the market's 24-hour volume and aligns with positioning across three markets in the event.
$3,000 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xcd30...f316 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $72,046 (94% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — LGD Gaming, $44,277 (42% win rate)
- 0x8718...5040 — LGD Gaming, $32,473 (82% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — LGD Gaming, $31,276 (92% win rate)
- 0x6842...20d0 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $30,837 (66% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — ThunderTalk Gaming, $20,069 (70% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $19,753 (71% win rate)
- 0x203b...46e1 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $19,345 (81% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — LGD Gaming, $16,666 (51% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $16,436 (66% win rate)
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