Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-one match between Monte and Legacy in IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. PolySpotter tracks live market odds plus $47,263 in smart money activity across 18 signals, including recent sharp clusters linked to Monte. The market resolves to the winning team on June 7, 2026, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Monte and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,337.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% sharp flipped sides
Elite 92% winning cross-market trader sold Legacy, effectively backing Monte at 56¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.5M lifetime.
- Selling Legacy at 44¢ was equivalent to backing Monte at 56¢ before Monte moved to 100%.
- The wallet is a major serial sports trader with $5.9M traded across 487 events.
$1,467 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial bettor fades favorite
Profitable serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Legacy at 12¢ amid one-sided Legacy flow, a volume spike, and a sharp move against Monte.
- This bettor has traded 251 events and is up about $250K lifetime.
- The trade effectively bought Legacy at 12¢ while three wallets were all taking the same side.
- Market activity spiked 31x and Monte fell 14 percentage points in under 3 minutes.
$1,132 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp linked Monte cluster
High-scoring coordinated Monte-side flow includes a 92% winning wallet up $2.5M, though much of the exposure came from selling out of Legacy positions after a sharp price move.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.5M joined the Monte-side flow.
- 5 wallets put $9.5K toward Monte, including 4 linked wallets funded by the same address.
- Legacy collapsed to 23¢ after these trades, but the best copy value was near the cluster’s roughly 56¢ Monte-equivalent entry.
$9,507 on Monte
Profitable trader flips sides
High-composite esports alert with a profitable high-volume trader flipping into Legacy alongside six-wallet one-sided buying and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 6,960 resolved bets and $151K in lifetime profit.
- Six wallets bought Legacy in the same window, totaling $10.6K on one side.
- The trader closed a Monte position and bought Legacy at 43¢, signaling a fresh change in view.
$1,274 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp linked esports bettor
A proven profitable esports bettor with a 78% record bought Legacy, with linked-wallet clustering adding conviction despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up about $20k lifetime.
- Four wallets funded by the same source have put about $3.1k behind the same side.
- Legacy is now below this bettor’s 52¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy point but with clear adverse price movement.
$1,404 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 78%
Heavy pre-match Legacy momentum
Legacy saw a large pre-event volume spike and a 21-point price move, though the individual bettor’s long-term P&L is weak.
- Legacy drew a 62x pre-event volume spike with 29 trades before the match.
- The price moved up 21 points toward Legacy, suggesting broad market momentum.
- This bettor is highly active across 694 events, but their lifetime P&L is negative.
$1,174 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 61%
New profitable esports bettor
Very new profitable wallet is making repeat sizeable bets on Legacy alongside a major pre-match volume spike and price move.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $1,262 and has won 8 of 9 resolved bets.
- It is a repeat large-bet wallet, with $3,258 flagged across 9 positions so far.
- Legacy saw a 62x pre-event volume spike and a 21-point price move, suggesting broader momentum behind the side.
$2,150 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 89%
Perfect sharp backing Legacy
A flawless 34-for-34 profitable bettor is buying Legacy amid a major pre-match volume spike and upward price move.
- This bettor has won 34 of 34 resolved trades and is up $10.6K lifetime.
- Legacy has already moved up 21 points, with market volume spiking 62x before the match.
- Entry at 76¢ suggests the bettor still sees value despite Legacy being the favorite.
$1,237 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner buying Legacy
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.5M profit bought Legacy amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 484 events, making this a proven repeat pattern rather than a one-off bet.
- Legacy saw a 62x pre-event volume spike and a 21-point price move, suggesting strong market momentum.
$1,822 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 92%
Experienced bettor chasing steam
Surfacing because a very experienced cross-market bettor bought Legacy during a large pre-match volume spike and 21-point price move, though the wallet is not profitable lifetime.
- A high-volume bettor with 714 resolved trades is backing Legacy with an $8k buy.
- Legacy has moved up 21 points amid a 62x pre-match volume spike.
- The market is liquid, so this looks more like momentum confirmation than a thin-market punt.
$7,949 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x1136...0c2e — Legacy, $141,725 (49% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Monte, $60,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xe557...9597 — Monte, $50,000
- 0x2c33...0563 — Monte, $28,545 (61% win rate)
- 0x61fe...0956 — Monte, $26,951 (84% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Legacy, $25,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Monte, $25,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Monte, $24,549 (95% win rate)
- 0x6832...831f — Monte, $22,467 (44% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Legacy, $17,542 (94% win rate)
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