Part of: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $379,930.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins 62-wallet NiP cluster

A proven, profitable esports bettor joined a large six-funder cluster buying Ninjas in Pyjamas at 58%, despite the market now pricing them at 0%.

This bettor wins 85% of 404 resolved trades and is up $214,465 lifetime.
Sixty-two wallets backed Ninjas in Pyjamas for $386,787, with six linked by a common funder.
The position was opened at 58%, creating a major discrepancy with the market's current 0% price for Ninjas in Pyjamas.

$1,160 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp wallets concentrated on LGD

A large coordinated LGD position was reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors and preceded a 53.9-point price surge, though the market is now resolved at 100%.

51 linked wallets committed $277,308 to LGD Gaming, with several bettors showing 81%–100% historical win rates.
The largest entries were around 36¢–45¢, before LGD Gaming moved to 100% and the market’s price rose 53.9 points.
This was a strong historical copy signal, but the market is already resolved and no longer offers a practical entry.

$277,308 on LGD Gaming

95% winner adds to LGD

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial existing LGD position is adding at 36% during an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved trades, earning $1.27M while buying at roughly 56% odds on average.
They are adding to an existing $117,736 LGD position at 36%, signaling continued conviction in the underdog.
The market saw a 4,434x spike versus its historical trading activity, reinforcing that this is notable positioning.

$2,063 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven sharp scaling into Ninjas

A highly profitable, 319-bet sharp is adding to a Ninjas in Pyjamas position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 79% of 319 resolved bets and is up $218,765 lifetime.
They are adding $2,849 to an existing Ninjas in Pyjamas position at 64¢.
Market volume is running 715x above its historical average, reinforcing the directional signal.

$2,755 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp wallets backing Ninjas in Pyjamas

A large coordinated Ninjas in Pyjamas position includes several demonstrably sharp bettors, though substantial opposing flow and adverse price movement reduce conviction.

15 wallets committed $89,036 to Ninjas in Pyjamas, including bettors with 87% and 78% win rates and roughly 27% historical edge.
The market saw a 211x historical volume spike, indicating unusually concentrated positioning in this match.
Ninjas in Pyjamas fell from entries around 55–60% to 46%, while an opposing $51,146 LGD cluster makes this a contested signal.

$54,463 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Proven sharp scaling into Ninjas

A highly profitable, 319-bet sharp is adding to a Ninjas in Pyjamas position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 79% of 319 resolved bets and is up $218,765 lifetime.
They are adding $2,849 to an existing Ninjas in Pyjamas position at 64¢.
Market volume is running 715x above its historical average, reinforcing the directional signal.

$2,849 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 78%

95% winner adds to LGD

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial existing LGD position is adding at 36% during an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved trades, earning $1.27M while buying at roughly 56% odds on average.
They are adding to an existing $117,736 LGD position at 36%, signaling continued conviction in the underdog.
The market saw a 4,434x spike versus its historical trading activity, reinforcing that this is notable positioning.

$1,162 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

95% win-rate bettor backs LGD

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial lifetime gains is adding $37,162 to LGD Gaming at 36 cents.

This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved trades and is up $1.27 million.
They added $37,162 to LGD Gaming at 36¢, reinforcing an existing $104,532 position at the same price.
The 36¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against current market odds near 36% for LGD.

$37,162 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

99% win-rate esports bettor

A highly proven esports trader with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 63 cents.

This bettor has won 1,207 of 1,225 resolved trades and is up $462,246.
The wallet’s 60% average winning entry price versus a 99% win rate indicates exceptional performance beyond market odds.
A fresh $1,008 position backs Ninjas in Pyjamas at 63 cents, below the suggested 73-cent copy ceiling.

$1,008 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xf201...527e — Outcome 20859581, $70,000 (70% win rate)
0x292f...7fc2 — Outcome 20859581, $39,140 (74% win rate)
0x1610...ae49 — Outcome 20859581, $33,787 (60% win rate)
0x6d1e...2c7e — Outcome 20859581, $31,163 (77% win rate)
0x6842...20d0 — Outcome 20859581, $31,093 (67% win rate)
0x7ebf...afe2 — Outcome 20859581, $29,680 (71% win rate)
0x3af1...d739 — Outcome 20859581, $22,609 (52% win rate)
0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 20859581, $18,380 (76% win rate)
0x67ac...edf1 — Outcome 20859581, $18,316 (65% win rate)
0xd27c...c081 — Outcome 20859581, $17,000 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

LGD Gaming Wins Series and Games 1 and 3

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

ResolvedLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$379,930 tracked9 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “LGD Gaming”

102¢

68¢

35¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction