Part of: LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,553.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying Bilibili Gaming despite a recent 21-point price decline.

  • This bettor has won 190 of 201 resolved positions and earned $361,341 in profit.
  • Their results substantially exceed the roughly 60% average entry odds, indicating a meaningful historical edge.
  • They are buying Bilibili Gaming at 47¢ after its price fell 21 points in a day, signaling contrarian conviction.

$2,350 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 93%

99% winner leads Bilibili cluster

Three wallets added $13,063 to Bilibili Gaming, including a bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial proven edge, amid a major volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 99% of resolved positions is adding to Bilibili Gaming at 48¢.
  • Three wallets concentrated $13,063 on Bilibili Gaming, with volume running 202x above its historical average.
  • The market has moved 9 percentage points in Bilibili’s favor, but still prices the outcome near 50%.

$13,063 on Bilibili Gaming

Sharp bettor scaling into Bilibili

A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $8,140 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades, with $219,946 in reported profit across 33 positions.
  • The $8,140 purchase is more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume and adds to an existing $18,500 Bilibili Gaming position.
  • Bilibili Gaming was bought at 44¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market pricing it at roughly 44%.

$8,140 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe015...6ffd Outcome 11023024, $77,715 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xe548...a9fe Outcome 11023024, $50,000 (88% win rate)
  3. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 11023024, $18,000 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x282f...7c4e Outcome 11023024, $9,331 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xf949...3220 Outcome 11023024, $8,000 (94% win rate)
  6. 0x3e20...dd8a Outcome 11023024, $7,024
  7. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 11023024, $6,411 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 11023024, $4,207 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xda5f...2e9b Outcome 11023024, $1,852 (55% win rate)
  10. 0xa6e0...9970 Outcome 11023024, $1,583 (93% win rate)

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Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$23,553 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than JD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "JD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Bilibili Gaming
57¢
49¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

7d ago

$2,350 on Bilibili Gaming at 47¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

7d ago

$13,063 on Bilibili Gaming at 48¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

7d ago

$8,140 on Bilibili Gaming at 44¢

Related Theses