Part of: UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,190.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Rakic

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to a Rakic position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 487 resolved trades and is up $64,788, with entries averaging 27 percentage points below their win rate.
  • They are adding $2,500 to an existing Rakic position at 77¢, signaling continued conviction despite the sizable stake.
  • Trading activity was 4,830 times the historical average, pointing to an unusually active market ahead of the fight.

$5,000 on Aleksandar Rakic | Wallet win rate: 57%

Serial bettor joins huge Rakic volume spike

A serial cross-market bettor added to Rakic amid an extraordinary 4,830x volume spike, making the trade notable despite an unexceptional edge profile.

  • This bettor has traded 101 markets across 74 events, with 1,306 resolved bets and a 71% win rate.
  • The market saw a 4,830x historical volume surge across just seven trades, signaling unusually concentrated activity.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Rakic position at 78¢ rather than making a fresh entry.

$1,950 on Aleksandar Rakic | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor doubles down on Rakic

A proven sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is adding $6,160 to an existing Rakic position at 77 cents.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 18 resolved positions and is up $22,213.
  • They are adding $6,160 to an existing $8,000 Rakic position at 77¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • Rakic is already the market favorite at 76%, but the bettor’s average odds and track record indicate performance well above market expectations.

$6,160 on Aleksandar Rakic | Wallet win rate: 92%

99% win-rate UFC bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial lifetime profit made a concentrated $3,080 purchase of Aleksandar Rakic.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,576 resolved positions and is up $16.4 million.
  • They made a concentrated $3,080 bet on Aleksandar Rakic at 77¢.
  • The trade is roughly in line with the current 76% market probability, so the strongest evidence is the bettor’s exceptional track record rather than a clear price discount.

$3,080 on Aleksandar Rakic | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfbf3...b218 Outcome 86204725, $66,000 (46% win rate)
  2. 0x65c1...2988 Outcome 86204725, $50,894 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 86204725, $24,422 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 86204725, $6,500 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x8089...f935 Outcome 86204725, $6,500 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x56b9...79a2 Outcome 86204725, $6,454 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x29cc...3c29 Outcome 86204725, $5,200 (96% win rate)
  8. 0xa804...2a75 Outcome 86204725, $4,442 (64% win rate)
  9. 0x0f1c...82c6 Outcome 86204725, $4,000 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x270b...2baf Outcome 86204725, $2,000 (71% win rate)

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UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Marcin Tybura" if Marcin Tybura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aleksandar Rakic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Aleksandar Rakic" if Aleksandar Rakic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Aleksandar Rakic
79¢
77¢
74¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

41d ago

$5,000 on Aleksandar Rakic at 77¢

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

41d ago

$1,950 on Aleksandar Rakic at 78¢

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

41d ago

$6,160 on Aleksandar Rakic at 77¢

UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

41d ago

$3,080 on Aleksandar Rakic at 77¢

Related Theses