Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $99,390.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Linked whales buying Under

A $31.6k coordinated Under buy from four wallets, including linked funding and highly profitable high-volume bettors, is a strong directional signal before the match.

  • Four wallets bought $31.6k of Under in minutes, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • Two major bettors in the cluster are highly profitable, including one up $16.2M lifetime and another up $371k.
  • They entered around 60–63¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, confirming one-sided demand.

$31,561 on Under

Sharp serial sports bettor

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and nearly $400k profit is buying Over 3.5 at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $397k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 200 events with a strong long-term record, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see value on a 4+ goal game despite the market pricing it as an underdog outcome.

$2,100 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp soccer bettor buys Over

Sharp profitable wallet bought Over 3.5 at 40¢, backed by an 87% record and strong lifetime P&L despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $138,673 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 29¢, suggesting a history of finding mispriced long shots.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see Over 3.5 as a strong plus-money opportunity.

$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 90%

97% winner joins Over flow

Surface: a 97% winning bettor exited Under into an Over-equivalent position while three wallets put $16.6k on Over amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $33k effectively moved onto Over at 39¢.
  • Three wallets put $16.6k on the same side, with pre-game volume running 31x above normal.
  • Entry around 38–39¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if the match reaches 4 total goals.

$16,616 on Over

Pre-game Over cluster

Surfacing as a high-conviction pre-game Over cluster, though the signal is mixed because a larger linked Under cluster is also present.

  • Three wallets put $31.8k on Over, nearly as much as the market’s listed liquidity.
  • The market saw a 73x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning before kickoff.
  • Their main entries were around 41¢, but Over is now near 34¢, offering a cheaper entry than the cluster paid.

$31,826 on Over

Profitable 76% sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Over 3.5 at 37¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $4,920 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 37¢, matching this 37¢ Over buy.
  • Entry at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if Ecuador and Curaçao combine for 4+ goals.

$1,459 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable 76% sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Over 3.5 at 37¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $4,920 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 37¢, matching this 37¢ Over buy.
  • Entry at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if Ecuador and Curaçao combine for 4+ goals.

$1,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable new sports whale

A 16-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought nearly $9.8k of Over in a liquid soccer total market.

  • A 16-day-old wallet is already up $14.9k and keeps making large bets.
  • This is its 10th flagged large bet, with $47.3k total flagged so far.
  • Bought $9.8k of Over at 37¢, implying a strong view against the current 36% market price.

$9,778 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%

97% winner buying Under

Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win record and +$33k P&L bought Under 3.5 goals despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved positions and is up $33,071 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,800 of Under at 63¢, a meaningful bet from a proven wallet.
  • Their past wins came at average 51¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten fair prices by a wide margin.

$1,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%

Elite sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit is buying Under in this match total.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.85M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 176 events with over $751K in cross-market volume.
  • Buying Under at 61¢ suggests confidence despite a fairly liquid market.

$1,749 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8b1d...1a19 Outcome 31874608, $26,427 (70% win rate)
  2. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 31874608, $10,000 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x3561...f1b7 Outcome 31874608, $6,046
  4. 0x1b8f...cca7 Outcome 31874608, $4,500 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 31874608, $4,039 (76% win rate)
  6. 0xd146...9bf0 Outcome 31874608, $3,250 (40% win rate)
  7. 0x0249...5b4b Outcome 31874608, $3,000 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 31874608, $2,788 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x1eba...ff9c Outcome 31874608, $2,700 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x5b6e...f544 Outcome 31874608, $2,500 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two

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Norway Senegal will be high-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

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Morocco wins low scoring

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Türkiye wins two nil

Covers 5 related markets

Three goals, Sweden covers

Covers 6 related markets

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

ResolvedEcuador vs. Curaçao - More Markets$99,390 tracked10 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ecuador and Curaçao, scheduled for June 20 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ecuador and Curaçao combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$31,561 on Under at 62¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$2,100 on Over at 40¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$1,000 on Over at 40¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$16,616 on Over at 39¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$31,826 on Over at 40¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$1,459 on Over at 37¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$1,500 on Over at 37¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$9,778 on Over at 37¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$1,800 on Under at 63¢

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

11d ago

$1,749 on Under at 61¢

Related Theses

Goals, not Germany by two
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Norway Senegal will be high-scoring
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Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5
Mexico and Ecuador draw
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Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30…Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
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Japan covers in three-goal game
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Argentina wins low scoring match
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Türkiye vs US match canceled
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Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Morocco wins low scoring
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Türkiye wins two nil
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Türkiye vs. United States: 1st…Spread: United States (-2.5)Spread: United States (-1.5)
Three goals, Sweden covers
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France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5