Part of: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $383,458.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster bought No
A large 23-wallet push bought No into a draw market that quickly moved to 100%, with several historically strong sports/cross-market bettors participating.
- 23 wallets put $61k on No, and the market has since moved all the way to 100%.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one who wins 92% of resolved positions across 122 bets.
- This looks like late informed sports flow, but it is only actionable if No pulls back meaningfully from 100%.
$61,473 on No
94% sharp joined Yes wave
A highly profitable 94% lifetime bettor bought Yes at 55¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow, though the market has since collapsed to 0¢ and is no longer a clean copy-trade entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.77M lifetime.
- 20 wallets bought the same Yes side for $235K total, creating a strong one-sided flow signal.
- The entry was 55¢, but Yes is now showing 0¢, so this is more useful to study than to chase.
$10,010 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Elite bettor buying No
Elite profitable wallet with an 88% long-run win rate is buying No on a high-volume match market amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,065 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They added $4.0K on No while market volume spiked sharply before the match.
$4,007 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
93% winner backs No
Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $374k lifetime profit bought No at 70¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $374k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 130 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Market volume spiked 866x versus its historical average before kickoff.
$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
88% sports sharp buying No
Sharp sports wallet with an 88% long-run win rate and nearly $1M profit bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $996K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 264 events tracked and the same 88% win rate.
- A $5.6K buy came during an 866x pre-event volume spike, reinforcing momentum against the draw.
$5,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Nine-wallet draw surge
Nine wallets put $170K on the draw at about 26¢, including proven profitable bettors, and the market has already repriced sharply to 57%.
- Nine wallets all backed the same outcome with $170K, turning a quiet draw price near 26¢ into 57¢.
- At least two bettors have strong records, including one who wins 82% of bets and another with 1,415 resolved trades up $101K.
- The move came with a 24.8x volume spike and a 30-point one-day price jump, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random flow.
$170,554 on Yes
92% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No on the draw market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $174,937 lifetime.
- They have traded across 111 events with the same 92% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 72¢ means they are backing Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway not to end in a draw.
$1,461 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
12-wallet sharp draw cluster
A 12-wallet cluster bought the draw for $36.5k, including a proven 88% winner and several serial soccer/event bettors, making the one-sided flow worth surfacing despite the market being liquid.
- 12 wallets all backed the same draw outcome with $36.5k in buys around 25–27¢.
- One buyer wins 88% of resolved bets over 246 positions and is positive lifetime.
- Several serial cross-market bettors joined the same side, including wallets with $1.6M–$2.2M in prior event trading.
$36,496 on Yes
93% winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $9.3K lifetime.
- Their wins come at average 73¢ odds, so the record is meaningfully better than just backing heavy favorites.
- They bought No at 72¢, matching their usual price range and signaling confidence this does not end in a draw.
$1,001 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% winner fading draw
Sharp wallet with a 91% record and strong cross-market history bought No on a liquid soccer draw market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $99.3K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 47 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Buying No at 72¢ suggests they see the draw price as too high despite an already liquid market.
$1,502 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x7225...659a — Outcome 37296312, $2,150,420 (93% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10157490, $395,650
- 0x5f8f...40cf — Outcome 37296312, $296,470
- 0xe9a6...627b — Outcome 37296312, $66,667 (100% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 37296312, $44,726 (73% win rate)
- 0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 37296312, $40,103 (56% win rate)
- 0x8d06...f79d — Outcome 37296312, $35,680 (87% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 37296312, $18,200 (94% win rate)
- 0x51f3...2e03 — Outcome 37296312, $17,706 (97% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 37296312, $16,153 (62% win rate)
Related Theses
Exactly four goals scored
Covers 4 related markets
