Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $744,422.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New wallet repeat whale

A 19-hour-old wallet has already made five sizable bets totaling about $24.5k and just put another $6.3k into Natus Vincere at 49¢, showing repeat early conviction even in a liquid match market.

  • This 19-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 5 times with about $24.5k in total bets.
  • They just bought Natus Vincere at 49¢ with a $6.3k order, a meaningful position in a near 50/50 market.
  • Market volume is elevated, but this looks notable mainly because the same new wallet keeps sizing into fresh positions.

$6,341 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale on 14th bet

A brand-new wallet has already fired 14 large bets totaling about $196k, and this latest $19.7k buy is another meaningful show of conviction even in a liquid market.

  • This wallet is only 18 hours old but has already made 14 large flagged bets totaling about $196k
  • They just put $19.7k on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢, a sizable position for a fresh account
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this looks more like deliberate sizing than a random punt

$19,718 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale piling into favorite

A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed very large size into the same side of this Dota market during an extreme volume spike, signaling strong fresh conviction worth tracking.

  • An 18-hour-old wallet just bought about $150k of Xtreme Gaming in 4 trades, and it has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts.
  • The buys all hit at 53¢, a concentrated bet that is large even for a market with $294k of liquidity.
  • This market saw a 74x volume spike versus normal activity, suggesting unusually strong attention around this match.

$149,857 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

96% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly proven sports bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $1.9M profit is taking Xtreme Gaming at 53¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $1.9M lifetime.
  • They have done this across 386 markets and 282 events, so this is a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Xtreme Gaming at 53¢, a near-even price in a liquid market where small mispricings matter.

$1,348 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

16-for-16 sharp bettor

A proven high-ROI sports trader with a perfect 16-for-16 resolved record just put $15.7k into Xtreme Gaming amid a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a followable signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 16 resolved markets and is up $217k, which makes their new position worth tracking.
  • They just bought $15.7k of Xtreme Gaming at 53¢, a meaningful size even in a liquid match market.
  • Match volume is running 22x above normal, suggesting broader smart money is positioning before the game.

$15,676 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

74% win-rate bettor

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate is buying Xtreme Gaming into a market seeing an unusual pre-match volume surge, making this a reasonable follow despite the moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has won 569 of 766 resolved markets and is up about $119k overall.
  • They've traded 312 markets across 251 events, so this looks like a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • The market is seeing a 24x pre-match volume spike, and they bought Xtreme Gaming at 53¢ in a very liquid market.

$8,889 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.09M in profit is buying Natus Vincere at 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being very liquid.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.09M lifetime across 195 settled positions.
  • They have placed over $10.5M across 359 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hot streak.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 46¢ while the market now shows 48¢, suggesting they saw value before the move.

$3,453 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%

3-wallet Xtreme cluster

Three wallets piled $15.1k into Xtreme Gaming at 52-54¢, including a very new repeat large-bet wallet and two profitable bettors with strong win rates.

  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $15.1k on Xtreme Gaming.
  • One bettor wins 71% of 759 resolved trades and is up $107k, while another is up $55k with a 69% win rate.
  • A wallet less than 1 day old has already triggered 20 large-bet alerts with $253k flagged, which points to strong repeat conviction.

$12,068 on Xtreme Gaming

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor with over $1.08M in realized profit bought Natus Vincere into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong sports signal despite the modest stake size.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.09M lifetime across 195 settled positions.
  • They trade heavily across hundreds of events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off lucky streak.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 47¢ during a 212x pre-match volume spike, implying they see the underdog as mispriced.

$1,726 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%

16-0 sharp esports bettor

A proven sports bettor with a perfect 16-0 resolved record and $217k profit just put $35k into Xtreme Gaming during an extreme pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 16 of 16 resolved bets and is up $217k on $521k invested
  • They just placed a $35k buy on Xtreme Gaming at 55¢, a large bet even in a liquid market
  • The market saw a 418x volume spike versus normal activity, suggesting strong pre-match positioning

$35,267 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 90751701, $1,340,715 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xd599...bf55 Outcome 90751701, $12,241 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 90751701, $11,870
  4. 0x60c3...5947 Outcome 90751701, $5,071 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xbfee...ed1f Outcome 90751701, $3,400
  6. 0x2924...0f31 Outcome 90751701, $2,500 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x50ac...a924 Outcome 90751701, $2,395 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x70c1...dba0 Outcome 90751701, $2,247 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x831f...9476 Outcome 90751701, $2,180
  10. 0x988d...9899 Outcome 90751701, $1,611 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved$744,422 tracked20 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Xtreme Gaming and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Xtreme Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$6,341 on Natus Vincere at 49¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$19,718 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$149,857 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,348 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$15,676 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$8,889 on Xtreme Gaming at 53¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$3,453 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$12,068 on Xtreme Gaming at 52¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,726 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$35,267 on Xtreme Gaming at 55¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$85,003 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$19,341 on Xtreme Gaming at 56¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$1,800 on Xtreme Gaming at 55¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$4,051 on Xtreme Gaming at 56¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$4,365 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$99,167 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$262,762 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1d ago

$2,251 on Xtreme Gaming at 57¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2d ago

$1,464 on Xtreme Gaming at 60¢

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2d ago

$9,874 on Xtreme Gaming at 58¢

Related Theses