Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,142.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history is buying Down, though the trade is modest and the signal is mainly wallet-quality rather than market structure.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,483 resolved bets with $363K profit.
- They have traded across 45 events and 72 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying Down at 87¢ aligns with the current market favorite after Up fell 38 points in the last day.
$1,263 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with strong lifetime profits bought Down amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp one-day move toward Down.
- This bettor has traded 1,483 resolved markets and is up $363,754 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events, with $592,522 flagged in similar positioning.
- The market saw a 243x volume spike and Up fell 29.5 points in the last day, matching this Down bet.
$1,831 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial trader follows momentum
A highly active profitable cross-market trader bought $7.7k of Down amid a major volume spike and a 30-point move toward Down.
- This very active bettor is up $343k lifetime across more than 1,700 resolved trades.
- They bought $7.7k of Down at 80¢ as the market shifted sharply toward Down.
- Volume spiked 243x above normal, suggesting fresh money is piling into the same direction.
$7,686 on Down | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with large profitable history is buying Down despite only a moderate standalone signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,483 resolved bets, 60% wins, and $363,754 in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 45 events and $590,746 in flagged cross-market volume.
- Buying Down at 80¢ aligns with the market favorite after a sharp 28.5-point move toward Down today.
$1,776 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Serial cross-market crypto trader with a large profitable history bought Down, but the signal is moderate because this is a liquid short-term BTC market and the trade size is not unusually large.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,483 resolved bets, 60% winners, and $363K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 45 events and $589K of detected correlated positions.
- Bought Down at 71¢ after a 20-point move toward Up/away from Down, suggesting a contrarian BTC view before resolution.
$1,305 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit is buying Down despite only a moderate 60% hit rate and a single correlated-cross-market signal.
- This bettor is up about $400K lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved bets.
- They have traded 44 events and 71 markets recently, suggesting an active cross-market BTC thesis.
- They bought Down at 70¢ after Up fell 19 points over the past day.
$1,281 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Outcome 65256408, $24,416 (60% win rate)
- 0xfae4...299f — Outcome 20951028, $19,005
- 0x3885...ca77 — Outcome 20951028, $9,089 (54% win rate)
- 0x25d8...a71f — Outcome 20951028, $6,000 (43% win rate)
- 0x1da6...e563 — Outcome 20951028, $3,150
- 0x8ee9...b640 — Outcome 20951028, $2,657
- 0xc2e8...2c82 — Outcome 20951028, $1,908
- 0x0e3c...6e60 — Outcome 20951028, $1,811
- 0x73e2...342e — Outcome 20951028, $1,550
- 0x0699...886b — Outcome 20951028, $1,184
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
