This bettor has a long track record: 161 resolved bets with 73% wins and about $16k profit. They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events with $155k traded in this pattern. The $1.7k buy is meaningful versus this market’s $5.5k liquidity, and entry at 83¢ shows strong confidence in an Up open.

Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,468.

Categories: SPX, Daily, Indicies, Up or Down, Finance, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

73% serial macro bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong 161-market record is buying Up on the SPX open market, though the entry is on a heavy favorite.

This bettor has won 73% of 161 resolved trades and is up about $16K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events, suggesting a repeatable macro betting process.
Entry at 81¢ is on the favored side, so the copy edge depends on their track record rather than a big mispricing.

$1,775 on Up | Wallet win rate: 73%

Serial macro bettor

Serial cross-market trader with 161 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L is buying SPX Up at 83% in a relatively small daily market.

This bettor has a long track record: 161 resolved bets with 73% wins and about $16k profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events with $155k traded in this pattern.
The $1.7k buy is meaningful versus this market’s $5.5k liquidity, and entry at 83¢ shows strong confidence in an Up open.

$1,693 on Up | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

0xf259...7592 — Outcome 28828799, $1,160
0xf5bc...2c49 — Outcome 28828799, $842 (43% win rate)
0xe76a...5cb4 — Outcome 28828799, $679
0x34f4...16bd — Outcome 28828799, $259
0x8a13...ea35 — Outcome 28828799, $210
0x70b0...65c8 — Outcome 28828799, $184
0x7ea4...9d7b — Outcome 28828799, $106
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 28828799, $100
0x1236...c968 — Outcome 28828799, $97
0x9e62...9d88 — Outcome 28828799, $86

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?$3,468 tracked2 signalsSPXDailyIndiciesHide From NewUp or DownFinanceRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 13 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 13 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia