Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will touch or fall below $25,000 at any point before the end of December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle records a low at or under $25,000 during the tracking window; otherwise it resolves No. Traders use this market to gauge the odds of a major BTC drawdown before 2027.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,219.
Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto
Notable Trades
Sharp wallet buys crash tail
A proven sharp wallet with an 83% win rate and strong edge is buying a low-priced Bitcoin dip contract at 12¢, making this a worthwhile directional signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades across 132 resolved bets with a strong historical edge
- They bought Yes at 12¢, a low-priced tail bet that pays big if Bitcoin hits $25k by the end of 2026
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate view, not a random poke into an illiquid contract
$1,219 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x15e6...3c2b — Yes, $62,304
- 0x42fa...1fc7 — No, $47,776 (91% win rate)
- 0x56ff...96ba — Yes, $30,783
- 0xa7ce...6398 — No, $30,000
- 0xc1a5...f290 — No, $25,705
- 0x3362...0303 — Yes, $21,282
- 0x97d4...d66a — Yes, $20,284
- 0xcc50...4c82 — No, $19,667 (43% win rate)
- 0xf541...74f7 — No, $15,128
- 0xe21a...57a9 — Yes, $13,571 (100% win rate)
