Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $848,713.

Notable Trades

Sharp late-game whale

A highly profitable 90% winner put $139.6k on Yes at 71¢ just 2.6 minutes before resolution, alongside a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $5.2M lifetime.
They bought $139.6k of Yes at 71¢ just 2.6 minutes before resolution.
Market volume spiked 167x versus the recent average, with price up 4 points today.

$139,643 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial timer with 86% wins

Elite profitable sports bettor with an 86% track record bought No minutes before resolution, matching a strong serial last-minute betting pattern.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
They bought No twice in the final 4 minutes, part of a 31-bet last-minute pattern across 28 markets.
Entry at 30¢ implies they saw Chicago failing to win as underpriced despite heavy market volume.

$3,893 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp live-soccer whale

A highly profitable 90% win-rate wallet put $241k on Yes minutes before resolution, alongside a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
They put $241k on Yes in the final minutes before resolution.
Market volume spiked 154x, suggesting heavy late conviction around this outcome.

$241,446 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

86% serial timer cluster

Surface: three-wallet No cluster includes an 86% winning serial near-resolution trader with $1.8M profit and a strong live-sports timing edge.

Lead wallet wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $1.8M lifetime.
Bought No just 1.9 minutes before resolution, matching a 30-bet near-deadline pattern.
Three wallets put $11.9K on the same side during a 548x volume spike.

$11,940 on No

Sharp last-minute soccer whale

Sharp profitable soccer bettor put $338K on Chicago Fire Yes in the final minutes before resolution, backed by a 90% resolved-bet record and major lifetime profit.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up about $5.2M lifetime.
They put $338K on Yes in a live soccer market just minutes before resolution.
The market also saw a huge volume spike, with Yes trading around 70–71¢.

$338,168 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor bought Chicago Fire Yes amid a major pre-game volume spike, making the trade worth surfacing despite modest size relative to liquidity.

This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across 103 resolved bets.
They have traded 53 related sports events with a 60% win record.
Market volume spiked 548x before the game, with Yes already moving up 4% today.

$4,039 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

90% winner betting big

Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and $5.2M lifetime profit put nearly $94k on Yes into a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up about $5.2M lifetime.
They put nearly $94k on Yes, mostly between 68¢ and 71¢.
The market saw a 1,228x volume spike, suggesting unusually strong fresh demand.

$94,924 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Perfect-record sports whale

Surface: this is a highly profitable wallet with a perfect 63-0 resolved record, large cross-market sports activity, and a $6.7k fresh buy on Chicago Fire Yes.

This bettor is 63-for-63 on resolved markets and is up $606k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader, with $883k deployed across 54 events.
The $6.7k buy was large for this market’s recent activity and entered at 68¢.

$6,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

90% winner buying big

Surface despite the low composite score because the wallet has a strong 90% record across 50 resolved bets and is making an $8k Yes buy that is over 2x the market's 24h volume.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $35.5k lifetime.
The $8k Yes buy is more than 2x this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 65¢ implies they still see value despite Chicago already being favored.

$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xc974...b33b — Outcome 74774984, $29,776 (87% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 74774984, $7,683
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 74774984, $5,000 (90% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 74774984, $3,500 (56% win rate)
0x4658...4131 — Outcome 74774984, $2,500 (83% win rate)
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 74774984, $2,069 (96% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 74774984, $1,600 (86% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 74774984, $1,218 (71% win rate)
0xba8d...009d — Outcome 74774984, $1,127
0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 74774984, $1,046

Related Theses

Thunder win, avoid 220 total

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?

ResolvedChicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC$848,713 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If Chicago Fire FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes”

88¢

67¢

46¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction