Part of: Thunder vs. Suns

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $348,614.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Suns +11.5 at 48¢ across multiple related markets, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,569 resolved trades and is up $6.5M lifetime
  • They played 4 markets in this same game event and have done this across 1,092 events
  • Bought Suns +11.5 at 48¢, while the market now sits near 36¢ after a fast move

$1,137 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp cross-market NBA bettor

A highly profitable 72% win-rate bettor with a massive sample is building a cross-market NBA game thesis and bought Suns +11.5 at 52¢, which has already moved to 64¢.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,567 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They played 4 markets in this same game and have done this across 1,090 events, suggesting a repeatable event-level edge
  • They bought Suns +11.5 at 52¢ and the market is now 64¢, so the trade is already moving their way

$2,470 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 73%

4-wallet Thunder cluster

A linked 4-wallet cluster bought Thunder into a major pregame volume spike, led by a very active bettor with a large resolved sample and immediate price follow-through.

  • Four wallets piled into Thunder together for nearly $22k, and three share the same funder.
  • This wallet has 5,964 resolved bets, a 60% win rate, and over $111k in profit.
  • The bet came in at 48¢ and the market is already at 52¢ after a 56x volume surge.

$4,713 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 59%

Linked cluster backs Thunder

A profitable high-volume bettor joined a 4-wallet linked cluster buying Thunder in a strong one-sided move during a major pregame volume spike.

  • Four wallets, three of them linked by funding, all bought Thunder for nearly $22k total.
  • This wallet has over 400 resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime, making this more than routine public flow.
  • They bought at 48¢ and the market is already at 52¢, with market volume running 56x above its normal pace.

$10,144 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 58%

95% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable 95% win-rate sports trader with a large cross-market sample bought Suns on the spread into a major pre-game volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up $184.6k across 92 settled positions.
  • They also trade across 59 related markets and 56 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Suns at 54¢ during a 53.7x pre-game volume spike, implying they saw value before tip.

$2,414 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 94%

4-wallet linked NBA cluster

Four coordinated wallets, three of them linked, put nearly $22k on Thunder -11.5 in a concentrated burst, and the cluster includes a very active cross-market bettor with strong realized profits.

  • Four wallets piled into Thunder -11.5 within minutes for nearly $22k, and three share the same funder.
  • This group includes high-volume profitable bettors, including one wallet up about $2.0M lifetime.
  • They bought around 47-48¢, implying they saw the spread as materially better than a coin flip.

$21,978 on Thunder

7-wallet linked Thunder push

A linked 7-wallet cluster put $304.9k on Thunder in the same direction, and this wallet is a high-volume profitable bettor joining that coordinated move at 48¢.

  • Seven wallets, five sharing a funder, all piled into Thunder for $304.9k total
  • This wallet has 4,143 resolved bets and is up $132.8k lifetime
  • They bought at 48¢ in a liquid market, suggesting conviction rather than a random thin-market punt

$12,023 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 55%

7-wallet Thunder cluster

A linked 7-wallet cluster just put over $300k on Thunder -11.5 in one direction, led by a very active wallet with over $2.1M lifetime profit, making this coordinated pregame flow worth watching.

  • Seven wallets all hit Thunder in the same direction for $304.9k, and five share the same funder.
  • The lead wallet has over 1,200 resolved bets and is up $2.17M lifetime.
  • This $225.3k buy came at 48¢, near even odds, during a 750x pregame volume spike.

$225,253 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 51%

84% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable 84% win-rate sports bettor with over $1.0M in profit bought Thunder -11.5 at 47¢ during a sharp pregame volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime across 374 settled positions.
  • They bought Thunder -11.5 at 47¢, a near-even price that suggests they see clear value in a double-digit win.
  • This wallet has made profitable bets across 516 events, and this market just saw a 315x volume spike before tipoff.

$5,090 on Thunder | Wallet win rate: 86%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 68% win rate and $1.69M in realized profit bought Suns in a market seeing an extreme pre-game volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 138 of 203 resolved markets and is up $1.69M lifetime
  • They just put $22.5k on Suns while this market's volume ran 315x above normal
  • Entry around 52¢ is near the current price, making the copy setup still clean

$22,504 on Suns | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3de4...b032 Outcome 16329616, $70,000 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xe5b7...5ee3 Outcome 16329616, $70,000 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 16329616, $31,160 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 16329616, $15,720 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xf8e5...905b Outcome 16329616, $15,445 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 16329616, $10,829 (86% win rate)
  7. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 16329616, $8,752 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 16329616, $8,201
  9. 0x1aa2...30cc Outcome 16329616, $6,596 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x1dfb...0b3d Outcome 16329616, $5,444 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

ResolvedThunder vs. Suns$348,614 tracked13 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

OKC
64-18
Mortgage Matchup Center
PHX
45-37
Draft Kings
Spread: OKC -11.5O/U: 215.5ML: -535/+400
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$1,137 on Suns at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$2,470 on Suns at 52¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$4,713 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$10,144 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$2,414 on Suns at 54¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$21,978 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$12,023 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$225,253 on Thunder at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$5,090 on Thunder at 47¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$22,504 on Suns at 52¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$32,161 on Suns at 48¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$7,722 on Thunder at 50¢

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

15d ago

$1,007 on Thunder at 49¢

Related Theses