This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved trades and is up about $6.1k lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events with a 96% win record. The entry was 25¢, but the market now shows Yes at 0%, so this looks stale for copying.

Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - Halftime Result

Germany leading at halftime?

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,438.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

96% win sharp bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win record bought Yes at 25¢, but the market has since moved to 0%, so this is notable for tracking rather than copying now.

This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved trades and is up about $6.1k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 49 events with a 96% win record.
The entry was 25¢, but the market now shows Yes at 0%, so this looks stale for copying.

$3,364 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

89% serial sports sharp

A highly proven 89% win-rate wallet bought No at 83¢ on a halftime market, with the position quickly moving to 100¢ amid volume and price impact.

This bettor has won 89% of 2,920 resolved bets and is up $244K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 185 events with $640K tracked in similar activity.
They bought No at 83¢ and the market moved to 100¢, suggesting strong timing and conviction.

$2,840 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

91% sharp backing Yes

A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Yes near halftime alongside one-sided flow from six wallets, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $123,634 lifetime.
Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $21,567 on Yes.
The trade was placed at 57¢ just minutes before halftime resolution.

$3,800 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

89% winner joins Yes cluster

Elite 89% win-rate wallet with $1.54M lifetime profit bought Yes, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved positions and is up $1.54M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.56M deployed across 279 events.
Six wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $21.6K in the same direction.

$2,301 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial trader joins cluster

A profitable serial cross-market trader joined a 6-wallet one-sided push into Yes during a 25.6x volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

This bettor has traded across 77 events and is up $182K lifetime on $3.1M invested.
Six wallets bought the same Yes side for $21.6K total, showing coordinated conviction.
Volume spiked 25.6x above normal, though the market has since fallen from this 57¢ entry to 40¢.

$4,490 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and nearly $1M profit is buying No, alongside one-sided flow from four wallets.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $980K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.0M+ deployed across 260 events.
Four wallets are all buying No here, totaling about $7.6K in the same direction.

$1,720 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Winning serial trader with No cluster

Positive-P&L serial cross-market sports trader bought No alongside a 4-wallet one-sided flow on Germany halftime lead.

This bettor has won 71% of 152 resolved bets and is up $34,660 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 34 events with nearly $97k deployed.
Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $7,553 on No.

$1,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable cluster fading halftime lead

A four-wallet cluster bought $26.8k of No around 50–53¢, including two highly profitable bettors, and the market has already moved toward them to 60¢.

Two profitable bettors in this cluster are up about $5.4M combined lifetime.
Four wallets bought $26.8k of No, mostly near 50¢, and it has already moved to 60¢.
Volume is spiking 25.6x before kickoff, suggesting this is part of a broader pre-game repricing.

$26,789 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

High-composite sports alert with a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining coordinated Yes flow from 5 wallets, including linked funding, amid a volume spike.

This bettor has a large track record: 1,240 resolved trades, 67% winners, and about $39k profit.
Five wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $11.3k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
Market activity is heating up with an 11.3x volume spike before kickoff.

$3,595 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Linked 5-wallet Yes push

Surface due to coordinated one-sided Yes buying from 5 wallets with linked funding plus a pre-event volume spike, despite this specific wallet's poor long-term record.

Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $11.3k on Yes, with two wallets sharing a funder.
Market volume is running 11.3x above its normal pace before kickoff.
The entry at 57¢ suggests the group sees Germany leading at halftime as underpriced.

$1,309 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Top Holders

0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 72843858, $38,201 (57% win rate)
0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 72843858, $37,736 (71% win rate)
0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 72843858, $32,901 (62% win rate)
0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 72843858, $19,793 (88% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32124808, $18,812
0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 72843858, $18,000 (97% win rate)
0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 72843858, $14,344 (76% win rate)
0x97e1...ad44 — Outcome 72843858, $10,000
0x84d0...95ba — Outcome 72843858, $8,794 (91% win rate)
0xd331...733c — Outcome 72843858, $6,316 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Germany leading at halftime?

ResolvedGermany vs. Paraguay - Halftime Result$75,438 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Germany wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

58¢

54¢

50¢