Part of: Croatia vs. Slovenia
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,979.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
Serial trader dodged collapse
Serial cross-market trader with a 72% hit rate sold Croatia Yes at 80¢ before the market collapsed to 16¢, effectively positioning for No at 20¢.
- This bettor has traded 39 events and wins 72% of resolved markets.
- They sold Yes at 80¢ before Croatia fell to 16¢, equivalent to getting No around 20¢.
- This looks more like a sharp exit than a fresh position, but the timing was very strong.
$1,878 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
88% winner buying NO
Surface despite the weak alert score because this is a proven sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and $1.4M lifetime profit buying Croatia No.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- They bought $3.4k of No around 38–39¢, betting against Croatia winning in regulation.
- The market has already moved against Croatia, with Yes down about 11 points over the last day.
$3,402 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Elite 88% sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $1.4M lifetime profit bought Croatia No at 31¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $1.4M lifetime.
- They have traded 419 markets across 332 events, with the same 88% win rate over a large sample.
- Buying No at 31¢ goes against Croatia being favored, implying a focused contrarian view.
$1,269 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable linked bettor buying Yes
Surface: a profitable 76% winner is buying Croatia Yes, with a recurring 3-wallet funded cluster behind the signal.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $3,630 lifetime.
- Three wallets share the same funder, and this cluster has appeared in prior runs.
- They bought Croatia at 70¢, implying confidence despite the price drifting down this week.
$1,269 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Thin-book sports whale
A single unknown wallet made a $3.8k equivalent BUY Yes on a very thin, wide-spread sports market, moving with recent upward momentum but without proven wallet history.
- A single bettor effectively bought Yes at 50¢ with a $3.8k trade in a very thin market.
- The order was large versus about $712 of listed liquidity, suggesting strong conviction.
- Yes has already moved up 16.5 points in the past day, so this follows clear market momentum.
$3,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 22%
Quiet-market No whale
A single wallet put $4.4k on No in an almost completely inactive Croatia market, a large conviction bet despite no track record.
- A bettor put $4.4k on No in a market with essentially no recent activity.
- The bet is far larger than the market’s $291 liquidity and $3 total recorded volume.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see Croatia not winning as meaningfully underpriced.
$4,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 98638218, $3,771 (65% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 98638218, $2,321 (74% win rate)
- 0x9565...ec9a — Outcome 98638218, $2,000
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 98638218, $1,311 (63% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 98638218, $999 (88% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 98638218, $809 (82% win rate)
- 0x04ec...8ac9 — Outcome 98638218, $535
- 0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 98638218, $500 (56% win rate)
- 0x3d85...197f — Outcome 98638218, $500 (83% win rate)
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 98638218, $464
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