Part of: Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

This prediction market covers the Bengaluru 2 tennis match between Keegan Smith and Ognjen Milic, scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. The market resolves based on which player advances, with resolution expected by May 21, 2026 if a winner is determined within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,226 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity from high win-rate tennis and sports bettors.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,903.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

82% win-rate serial bettor

Sharp serial tennis bettor with an 82% win rate and positive P&L is effectively buying Keegan Smith after a large move against Ognjen Milic.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $20,212 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 83 events with the same 82% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Selling Ognjen Milic at 19¢ is equivalent to buying Keegan Smith at 81¢.

$1,226 on Keegan Smith | Wallet win rate: 83%

82% win-rate tennis bettor

Sharp positive-P&L tennis bettor with an 82% resolved win rate bought Ognjen Milic at 49¢, though the market has since moved against them to 38¢.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $20,212 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 82 events with the same 82% win rate.
  • They paid 49¢ for Ognjen Milic, while the market is now around 38¢, offering a cheaper follow-on entry.

$3,103 on Ognjen Milic | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active cross-market sports trader with a strong 243-bet record and $729k lifetime profit bought Ognjen Milic at 44¢.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 243 resolved bets and is up $729k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $2.38M flagged across 135 events.
  • Entry at 44¢ implies a meaningful underdog position in a liquid tennis market.

$1,400 on Ognjen Milic | Wallet win rate: 64%

81% winner backs underdog

Sharp bettor with an 81% record and +$243,953 lifetime P&L is buying Ognjen Milic at 47¢ in a moderately liquid tennis market.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $243,953 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 56 events with the same 81% hit rate.
  • Entry at 47¢ suggests they see Ognjen Milic as mispriced versus the market.

$1,174 on Ognjen Milic | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 61737640, $9,575 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 61737640, $6,876 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 61737640, $5,117 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x186f...fcab Outcome 61737640, $3,733 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xae30...079e Outcome 61737640, $2,518 (81% win rate)
  6. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 61737640, $2,027 (73% win rate)
  7. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 61737640, $1,111
  8. 0x3e1c...d8ac Outcome 61737640, $1,026
  9. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 61737640, $1,000 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x9cb4...8285 Outcome 61737640, $936 (58% win rate)

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Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

5dBengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic$6,903 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Ognjen Milic in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Ognjen Milic. This market will resolve to 'Ognjen Milic' if Ognjen Milic advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Keegan Smith
65¢
55¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

1d ago

$1,226 on Keegan Smith at 81¢

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

1d ago

$3,103 on Ognjen Milic at 49¢

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

1d ago

$1,400 on Ognjen Milic at 44¢

Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milic

1d ago

$1,174 on Ognjen Milic at 47¢

Related Theses