Part of: China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur

China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $206,091.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet Djokovic buying surge

Seven wallets bought $59.4K of Djokovic during a 54x volume spike, including bettors with exceptional long-term records.

Seven wallets put $59,426 on Djokovic, with entries clustered around 61¢.
The group includes a bettor with a 98% win rate across 299 resolved positions and another at 95% across 366.
Trading volume was 54 times its historical average as the buys came in.

$59,426 on Novak Djokovic

New profitable wallet scaling into de Minaur

A highly active new wallet with substantial reported profits is adding a large Alex de Minaur position during a 36.4x volume spike, though its proven win sample is small.

The wallet added $23,136 to Alex de Minaur at 38–39¢ and already holds an $87,784 position.
A 36.4x spike in market volume accompanied the bets.
The wallet reports $217,741 in profit, but its 100% record is based on only 3 resolved bets.

$19,637 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial trader adds Djokovic

A profitable, experienced cross-market trader is adding to a Djokovic position amid a 28x pre-event volume spike, though the entry is close to current odds.

This trader is up $53,788 across 135 resolved bets and is adding to an existing Djokovic position.
Trading volume is running 28 times above its historical average, while Djokovic is available near the trader’s 61¢ entry.

$4,000 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 71%

New profitable wallet scaling into de Minaur

A highly active new wallet with substantial reported profits is adding a large Alex de Minaur position during a 36.4x volume spike, though its proven win sample is small.

The wallet added $23,136 to Alex de Minaur at 38–39¢ and already holds an $87,784 position.
A 36.4x spike in market volume accompanied the bets.
The wallet reports $217,741 in profit, but its 100% record is based on only 3 resolved bets.

$21,587 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale doubling down on de Minaur

A recently created, repeat-betting wallet added about $40.7K to an already large Alex de Minaur position during a 58.5x market-volume spike.

The wallet added $40.7K to an existing $107.8K Alex de Minaur position, showing strong conviction.
The market saw a 58.5x spike in trading volume, with the five buys made within about 17 minutes.
The wallet is up $217,741, though its perfect record is based on just three resolved bets.

$23,537 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

New whale doubling down on de Minaur

A recently created, repeat-betting wallet added about $40.7K to an already large Alex de Minaur position during a 58.5x market-volume spike.

The wallet added $40.7K to an existing $107.8K Alex de Minaur position, showing strong conviction.
The market saw a 58.5x spike in trading volume, with the five buys made within about 17 minutes.
The wallet is up $217,741, though its perfect record is based on just three resolved bets.

$40,686 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven trader adds amid volume spike

A profitable, active trader added to an existing Djokovic position amid a 36.4x market volume spike, though the $1,000 trade is modest relative to market liquidity and the track record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

This bettor is up $7,015 across 135 resolved bets and has traded across 30 events.
They added $1,000 to an existing Djokovic position as market activity rose to 36.4 times its historical average.
The 63¢ entry is near the current 62¢ odds, so the trade is a measured addition rather than a major price-discount signal.

$1,000 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 74%

Proven sharp adding to Djokovic

A highly profitable bettor with 992 resolved positions is adding to Djokovic at 63¢ amid a 36.4x market volume spike.

This bettor has won 88% of 992 resolved positions and is up $22,857 overall.
They are adding to an existing Djokovic position at 63¢ as market volume spikes to 36.4 times its historical average.

$1,382 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 88%

New profitable wallet scaling into de Minaur

A highly active new wallet with substantial reported profits is adding a large Alex de Minaur position during a 36.4x volume spike, though its proven win sample is small.

The wallet added $23,136 to Alex de Minaur at 38–39¢ and already holds an $87,784 position.
A 36.4x spike in market volume accompanied the bets.
The wallet reports $217,741 in profit, but its 100% record is based on only 3 resolved bets.

$23,136 on Alex de Minaur | Wallet win rate: 100%

242-win bettor adds to Djokovic

A highly profitable bettor with 242 reported wins and no losses is adding $9,000 to an existing Djokovic position in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor has 242 reported wins, no losses, and $251,388 in profit.
They added $9,000 to an existing Djokovic position, bringing their reported investment to about $23,286.
The bet was placed at 63¢ in a market with only about $6,595 in 24-hour volume.

$9,000 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 99%