Part of: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 9 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $159,983.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sharp backs San Diego

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge placed a fresh $25,600 bet on San Diego at 64%.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 598 resolved positions and is up $4.69 million.
  • The $25,600 San Diego position is meaningful despite the market’s strong liquidity, signaling substantial conviction.
  • The 64¢ entry implies the bettor sees value before the price moved to 68%.

$25,600 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettors double down on Padres

Six wallets added $68,266 to San Diego despite a sharp move against them, including five highly profitable bettors with strong historical edges, though all already held the position.

  • Five of the six bettors have 91–100% win rates across 17–120 resolved positions, with documented profits above $33,000.
  • The group added $68,266 to San Diego at 51–64% odds even as the market later fell to 24%, making this a notable high-conviction contrarian position.
  • Most wallets were adding to existing Padres holdings, so the signal reflects increased conviction rather than a completely new thesis.

$68,266 on San Diego Padres

91% winner scaling into Padres

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $524,000 profit is adding $4,879 to an existing Padres position during a major volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 523 resolved positions and is up $524,372 lifetime.
  • The $4,879 purchase adds to an existing $30,887 Padres position, signaling sustained conviction rather than a casual entry.
  • Market volume surged dramatically while the bettor bought Padres at 63¢, near the current 64% implied probability.

$4,879 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 91%

High-volume serial winner backs Padres

A highly experienced bettor with a 69% win rate deployed $61,237 on San Diego, creating a strong volume and conviction signal.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 647 resolved trades and is up $6.24 million.
  • They committed $61,237 to San Diego at 63¢, vastly exceeding the detected 24-hour market volume.
  • The trade is supported by a sharp volume spike and the bettor’s activity across 508 prior events.

$61,237 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 71%

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

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NATO and Russia avoid clash

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Cardinals cover in high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres$159,983 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Washington Nationals
0¢
San Diego Padres
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 9 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
2
67-81
Final
SD
9
78-68
WSH +154SD -187O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
33,276

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-09 20:20 UTC

$25,600 on San Diego Padres at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-09 21:02 UTC

$68,266 on San Diego Padres at 64¢

64¢→100¢↑36¢

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-09 19:56 UTC

$4,879 on San Diego Padres at 63¢

63¢→100¢↑37¢

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

2026-09-09 19:56 UTC

$61,237 on San Diego Padres at 63¢

63¢→100¢↑37¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
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Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati R…
Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroi…
Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Panthers keep it close
Wallet_0x16bb9 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Bears (-4.5)Spread: Bears (-2.5)Spread: Bears (-3.5)
NATO and Russia avoid clash
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NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…NATO x Russia military clash b…
Cardinals cover in high-scoring game
Wallet_0xc8075 trades 4 related markets
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Spread: 49ers (-8.5)Spread: 49ers (-7.5)