Part of: Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,018.

Categories: gaming, Culture, streamer, Minecraft, IShowSpeed, Live Streams

Notable Trades

92% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and $4.15M lifetime profit made a fresh $1,847 Yes bet after a sharp market repricing.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 719 resolved positions and earned $4.15M in profit.
  • They placed $1,848 on Yes at 82¢ while the market rose 71.5% in one day.
  • The trader has participated across 179 events, making this stronger than an isolated bet.

$2,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate serial trader buys Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and $4.15M lifetime profit made a fresh $1,847 Yes bet after a sharp market repricing.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 719 resolved positions and earned $4.15M in profit.
  • They placed $1,848 on Yes at 82¢ while the market rose 71.5% in one day.
  • The trader has participated across 179 events, making this stronger than an isolated bet.

$1,848 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable bettor adds to No

A proven bettor with an 80% win rate and $196,769 lifetime profit added a $1,950 No position in a very thin market.

  • This bettor has won 105 of 131 resolved trades and is up $196,769 lifetime.
  • The $1,950 No purchase was roughly 150% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin book.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing No position at 88¢ while No is priced around 88%, reinforcing the bearish thesis.

$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd109...6fa0 Outcome 99086874, $23,481 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x134a...9e42 Outcome 99086874, $12,609 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 99086874, $2,056
  4. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 99086874, $2,000
  5. 0x5188...c804 Outcome 99086874, $1,627 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x5533...51ba Outcome 99086874, $1,399
  7. 0x5109...5e9c Outcome 99086874, $1,085 (40% win rate)
  8. 0x6978...08d8 Outcome 99086874, $1,000 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x0af4...89b4 Outcome 99086874, $970 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x6560...e164 Outcome 99086874, $924 (60% win rate)

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Kai and Speed beat Minecraft by August 14

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Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

ResolvedKai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?$6,018 tracked3 signalsgamingCulturestreamerMinecraftIShowSpeedLive Streams

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined. Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt. Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage. Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

11d ago

$2,221 on Yes at 82¢

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

11d ago

$1,848 on Yes at 82¢

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?

15d ago

$1,950 on No at 88¢

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