Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Dota 2 BO3 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in DreamLeague Group A, scheduled for May 15 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 15, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $38,421 in smart money across 5 signals, including several high win-rate esports bettors.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 15 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,939.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New esports wallet 2-for-2
Very new wallet is making a meaningful Team Falcons bet after starting 2-for-2 with early profit, though the track record is still small.
- This 3-hour-old wallet is already 2-for-2 and up $906 on resolved bets.
- It put $1.5K on Team Falcons at 74¢, its third position in a short period.
- The market is liquid with a tight spread, so this looks more like a directional esports view than a liquidity artifact.
$1,518 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% winner buying Falcons
Elite 95% winner with nearly $1.9M lifetime profit placed a $30k buy on Team Falcons, nearly matching the market's full 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.93M lifetime.
- They put $30,000 on Team Falcons, equal to about 95% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This wallet has traded 230 markets across 96 events with the same 95% hit rate.
$30,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%
77% winner buying underdog
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a large 758-bet track record with 77% wins and +$143,856 P&L, now buying Team Falcons around even money.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $143,856 lifetime.
- The edge is backed by a large 758-bet sample, not a small lucky streak.
- Buying Team Falcons at 49¢ implies they see value in a near coin-flip match.
$2,058 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 77%
90% winner esports sharp
Proven sharp esports bettor with a 90% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Team Liquid at 52%.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $202k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 55 events, 71 markets, and $214k traded.
- Buying Team Liquid at 52¢ suggests they see value in a near coin-flip match.
$1,979 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 90%
92% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Team Falcons at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $43.4K lifetime.
- They have a strong serial cross-market record across 39 events with $75.2K traded.
- Entry at 49¢ implies a near-even price on a bettor with a proven edge.
$2,885 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A long-running profitable cross-market bettor with 706 resolved bets and +$97k P&L bought Team Falcons at 52¢.
- This bettor has won 59% of 706 resolved bets and is up $97k lifetime.
- They have traded across 63 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 52¢ is near coin-flip odds, so even a small edge can matter.
$1,500 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xd250...8e3b — Team Liquid, $80,194
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Falcons, $69,963 (95% win rate)
- 0x4247...91c4 — Team Liquid, $19,002 (35% win rate)
- 0x3555...ba40 — Team Falcons, $9,240 (92% win rate)
- 0x83a0...eabb — Team Falcons, $5,887 (92% win rate)
- 0x8479...40df — Team Falcons, $5,064 (98% win rate)
- 0xacf6...41fc — Team Falcons, $4,200 (77% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Team Falcons, $4,140 (73% win rate)
- 0x4574...273d — Team Liquid, $4,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xdfaf...d959 — Team Falcons, $3,896 (18% win rate)
