Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $379,907.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
6-wallet one-sided push
Strong one-sided flow: six wallets bought Mexico for $53k, including a repeat new-wallet bettor adding $6.5k as the price has moved up 13 points.
- Six wallets are all betting the same way, with $53k flowing into Mexico.
- This new wallet has now been flagged four times, totaling $11.6k in notable bets.
- The market has already moved 13 points in Mexico’s favor, supporting the momentum signal.
$6,465 on Mexico
Profitable serial trader plus cluster
Strong Mexico spread buy from a profitable serial sports trader, reinforced by six wallets putting $53k on the same side.
- This bettor is up $663k lifetime across 214 resolved markets and has traded 217 events.
- Six wallets bought the same Mexico side for $53k total, showing coordinated one-way conviction.
- The buyer entered at 50¢ before the market moved to 54¢, with Mexico up 13 points over the last day.
$6,250 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial bettor plus cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Mexico alongside a 6-wallet one-sided flow totaling $53k, making this a strong directional signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 95 resolved bets and +$739k lifetime profit.
- Six wallets are all buying Mexico, with $53k moving the same direction in this market.
- They paid 62¢ while the market is now around 54¢, so followers may get a better entry than the flagged trade.
$14,235 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable new wallet joins flow
Profitable 8-day-old wallet with a 5-for-5 record bought Mexico alongside same-direction flow from two other wallets.
- This new wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and is up $2,336 so far.
- Three wallets bought Mexico in the same direction, totaling about $10,099 of flow.
- The bettor paid 57¢ while the market is now around 49¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than their buy.
$1,779 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet joins Mexico push
A brand-new wallet made a nearly $5k Mexico spread buy as part of a 3-wallet same-direction push, though the market has since moved against their 57¢ entry.
- A 7-hour-old wallet put nearly $5k on Mexico to cover the spread.
- Three wallets bought the same side in the same window, totaling about $10.1k.
- The bettor entered at 57¢, while Mexico is now around 49¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trade.
$4,911 on Mexico
94% winner joins 13-wallet flow
Elite 94% lifetime winner is buying South Africa, backed by 13-wallet same-direction flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $156.8K lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought the same side for $45.7K, with some linked funding.
- The market saw a 15.7x volume spike before the event, while entry is still near the current 60¢ price.
$2,880 on South Africa | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner backs underdog spread
Elite 94% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying South Africa, reinforced by 13 wallets moving the same direction and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $298k lifetime.
- 13 wallets are all buying South Africa, with $45.7k on the same side.
- Market volume is running 15.7x above normal before the game.
$2,160 on South Africa | Wallet win rate: 94%
88% winner joins 13-wallet cluster
A highly profitable 88% lifetime bettor is buying South Africa alongside a 13-wallet same-direction cluster, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- 13 wallets are all buying South Africa, with $45.7K flowing the same way.
- The same wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 867 events with an 88% win rate.
$1,376 on South Africa | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable whale flips sides
A profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped from a large Mexico position into South Africa, though the market also has heavier opposing Mexico flow.
- The main South Africa buyer is up about $2.1M lifetime across a very large betting history.
- This wallet appears to have closed a large Mexico position and then bought South Africa between 35¢ and 43¢.
- The signal is mixed because a larger $53K cluster is buying the opposite side, Mexico.
$18,190 on South Africa
98% winner bets $78k
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and nearly $2M profit placed a large $78k bet on South Africa against the Mexico -1.5 spread.
- This bettor has won 43 of 44 resolved positions and is up about $1.96M lifetime.
- They placed a large $78k bet on South Africa at 60¢ in a liquid World Cup spread market.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with $2.78M bet across 48 events and a 98% hit rate.
$78,000 on South Africa | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x6211...b89e — Outcome 59800484, $414,684 (49% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 59800484, $194,443 (47% win rate)
- 0xc6a6...9458 — Outcome 59800484, $170,000
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 59800484, $169,998 (100% win rate)
- 0x72d8...5213 — Outcome 59800484, $130,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 59800484, $40,145 (56% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Outcome 59800484, $24,076 (50% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 59800484, $22,435 (90% win rate)
- 0xbcfb...efc0 — Outcome 59800484, $19,842
- 0xc56b...8012 — Outcome 59800484, $14,320
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
