Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $811,264.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, Games, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Perfect-record bettor joins cluster
A perfect-record sports bettor bought Germany Yes alongside a large linked one-sided cluster, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the price later pulling back.
- This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved bets and is up $37,586 lifetime.
- 46 wallets bought the same Yes side for $189,066, with linked funding behind part of the flow.
- The trader entered at 51¢, while the market is now around 42¢, offering a cheaper price than their buy.
$1,180 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor joins 46-wallet push
A highly profitable 88% win-rate sports bettor bought Germany Yes alongside a large 46-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $94,790 lifetime.
- 46 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $189,066 on Germany Yes.
- The trade followed an 11.7x volume spike and rapid 16-point price move, suggesting strong momentum.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor joins 46-wallet push
Sharp profitable wallet bought Germany Yes alongside a large 46-wallet one-sided move and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
- 46 wallets bought the same Yes side for $189k, with linked funding detected.
- The market saw an 11.7x volume spike and a fast Yes price jump before this entry.
$1,377 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable new whale fading Germany
A 4-day-old repeat large bettor with $1.79M profit is taking a fresh $5.3k position on Germany No despite heavy market liquidity.
- This 4-day-old bettor is already up $1.79M on $3.26M invested.
- The wallet has been flagged 74 times for large bets, totaling about $602k in notable activity.
- They are buying No at 37¢ after Germany Yes moved up nearly 10 points today.
$2,189 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
New profitable whale buying Yes
A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large bets bought $6.4k of Germany Yes despite a highly liquid market.
- This wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $2,058 across 7 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 4 times for large bets, with $13,258 total flagged activity so far.
- This is a fresh $6.4k buy at 53¢, suggesting conviction that Germany is mispriced near even odds.
$5,332 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
97% winner in 55-wallet flow
Surface this: a 97% winning bettor bought No alongside a large one-sided 55-wallet flow and immediate price move.
- This bettor has won 59 of 61 resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- 55 wallets bought the same No side, totaling about $914K in one-sided flow.
- They entered No at 45¢ before it moved to 56¢, suggesting strong market follow-through.
$5,394 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner in 55-wallet flow
Surface this: a 97% winning bettor bought No alongside a large one-sided 55-wallet flow and immediate price move.
- This bettor has won 59 of 61 resolved bets and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- 55 wallets bought the same No side, totaling about $914K in one-sided flow.
- They entered No at 45¢ before it moved to 56¢, suggesting strong market follow-through.
$2,711 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Elite winner joins No cluster
Elite 87% lifetime winner joined a large 18-wallet one-sided move buying Germany No amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- 18 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $129.6K in the same direction.
- Market volume is surging at 103x normal while Germany No is available around 36¢.
$2,786 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor joins 26-wallet NO wave
Strong sharp-wallet and coordinated-flow alert: a proven 78% winner with $1.3M profit bought No alongside 26 wallets totaling $1.44M, with major volume and price movement.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $1.3M lifetime.
- 26 wallets bought the same side, totaling $1.44M on No.
- No moved from this trader’s 28¢ entry to 45¢, showing the market has already reacted strongly.
$1,111 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new whale joins NO wave
High-conviction NO flow from a very profitable new wallet, backed by 26-wallet one-sided buying and a major volume spike.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $1.79M and has repeatedly placed large flagged bets.
- 26 wallets are all buying No, totaling $1.44M on the same side of the market.
- Volume spiked nearly 50x while this wallet added No around 43–45¢.
$4,351 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12895713, $1,136,346
- 0x408f...b2f4 — Outcome 10127927, $914,445 (100% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 10127927, $594,068 (50% win rate)
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 10127927, $500,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 10127927, $317,853 (59% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 10127927, $264,037 (72% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 10127927, $225,639 (54% win rate)
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 10127927, $225,000 (70% win rate)
- 0xa614...e553 — Outcome 10127927, $197,260 (55% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 10127927, $189,203 (89% win rate)
Related Theses
Switzerland-Bosnia match happens
Covers 3 related markets
Favorites advance, Spain Netherlands miss
Covers 7 related markets
