Part of: France vs. Spain - More Markets
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $444,134.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Coordinated Spain-event flow
Surfacing due to a large same-event Spain flow and this wallet adding a sizable BTTS Yes position, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- 83 wallets have piled into the same Spain-side thesis for over $520K, including 12 linked wallets.
- This wallet added about $38K to BTTS Yes and already had a $73K Yes position, showing strong conviction.
- The market has seen a major pre-event volume surge and Yes is still up 10 points over the past day.
$74,347 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Coordinated Spain-event flow
Surfacing due to a large same-event Spain flow and this wallet adding a sizable BTTS Yes position, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- 83 wallets have piled into the same Spain-side thesis for over $520K, including 12 linked wallets.
- This wallet added about $38K to BTTS Yes and already had a $73K Yes position, showing strong conviction.
- The market has seen a major pre-event volume surge and Yes is still up 10 points over the past day.
$54,499 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
21-wallet linked No cluster
A 21-wallet linked cluster and multiple proven sports/event traders drove a huge late move into No, but the market has already moved to 100% so it is mainly useful as a sharp-flow study rather than a live copy.
- 21 wallets pushed $190K into the same No side, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
- Several strong traders joined the move, including wallets with 92% and 95% historical win rates.
- The trade moved No sharply higher from roughly coin-flip levels to 100%, leaving little live entry value now.
$190,157 on No
92% winner adding Yes
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and strong lifetime profit is adding $15k to an existing Yes position at 59¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $753k lifetime.
- They are adding $15k to an existing Yes position, bringing this market exposure above $40k.
- Entry at 59¢ suggests they see value despite a very liquid market.
$15,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
78% bettor adding Yes
Proven cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $20K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 25 events with a strong track record.
- This is an add-on bet, bringing more capital into the same Yes position at 60¢.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial bettor adding
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to a large No position before kickoff, backed by major event-level positioning and a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 64% of nearly 9,000 resolved bets and is up $3.8M lifetime.
- They already have $256K on No and just added another $23.5K at 41¢.
- The wallet has $225K spread across 4 markets in this same match, suggesting a broader game thesis.
$23,525 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
20-wallet linked Yes push
Large linked-wallet Yes cluster bought before a sharp 18-point move, with at least one strong tracked bettor involved, though there is notable opposing No flow.
- 20 wallets bought $73.9k of Yes, and the group includes wallets sharing a funder.
- The buys came around 60–62¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢.
- One participating bettor has won 87% of tracked bets at much lower average odds.
$73,888 on Yes
90% winner adding Yes
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% historical hit rate is adding to an existing Yes position, with linked-wallet clustering providing extra support.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $10.3K lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position at 60¢, bringing invested size to about $5.6K.
- Three wallets tied to the same funder have appeared in this pattern before.
$2,111 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Proven bettor adding Yes
Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $53k lifetime.
- They have traded across 39 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market strategy.
- This is an add to an existing Yes position, bringing invested size to about $5.5k at a 60¢ average.
$1,152 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Perfect-record sports bettor adding
Proven sharp sports wallet with a perfect 35/35 resolved record is adding to an existing No position at 40¢.
- This bettor is 35-for-35 on resolved trades and up $21.6K lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing No position, now with over $15K committed around 40¢.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see a strong chance one team gets shut out.
$4,455 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 48208521, $200,000 (60% win rate)
- 0x43b8...430a — Outcome 48208521, $170,838
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 48208521, $83,926 (79% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 48208521, $80,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 48208521, $79,711 (54% win rate)
- 0xa407...ca38 — Outcome 48208521, $72,254 (71% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 48208521, $71,206 (47% win rate)
- 0xa371...60c5 — Outcome 48208521, $64,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x3cf6...0cbd — Outcome 48208521, $47,054 (74% win rate)
- 0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 48208521, $25,424 (92% win rate)
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