Part of: April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,436.

Categories: Weather, Science

Notable Trades

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?

A bettor with a 90% win rate made a $3.4k buy into an extremely illiquid climate market, suggesting conviction despite the market being niche and thin.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up $26.4k overall
  • They put $3.4k into a market with essentially no 24h volume and only $107 of listed liquidity
  • The trade was made at 78¢, which suggests a strong view that this outcome is much more likely than the current 42¢ price

$3,436 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 97083233, $21,729
  2. 0xfde5...676c Outcome 10698723, $2,638
  3. 0x8575...87fe Outcome 10698723, $1,566
  4. 0xe5ed...5e8c Outcome 10698723, $1,187
  5. 0x4cd0...5e51 Outcome 10698723, $1,000
  6. 0x8aa6...6316 Outcome 10698723, $1,000
  7. 0x7ee4...6832 Outcome 10698723, $825
  8. 0xb0c2...3ea3 Outcome 10698723, $600
  9. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 10698723, $372
  10. 0x241a...1c12 Outcome 10698723, $347

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?

ResolvedApril 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)$3,436 tracked1 signalWeatherScience

Notable Trades

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?

71d ago

$3,436 on Yes at 78¢