Part of: Spain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

This prediction market tracks whether Spain will beat Cabo Verde by 3 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match on June 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If Spain wins by 3+ goals, the market resolves to Spain; otherwise it resolves to Cabo Verde, based on the official final score on fifa.com. PolySpotter is tracking $50,000 in smart money activity and recent sharp-wallet alerts around the Spain spread.

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $425,813.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

New profitable whale

A 2-day-old repeat whale with early profits placed a fresh $50k BUY on Spain amid a 40x pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet is only 2 days old but has already put $380k+ into flagged bets and is up $4.3k.
  • The bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades so far, with this fresh $50k entry at 55¢.
  • Market volume is spiking 40x ahead of the match, and Spain has moved up 4 points in the past day.

$50,000 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 100%

93% sports sharp fades Spain spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit bought Cabo Verde +2.5 for $14k.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They put $14k on Cabo Verde at 45¢, fading Spain to win by 3+ goals.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market bettor across 272 events with a strong long-term record.

$14,033 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 93%

New whale fading Spain spread

A 2-day-old repeat whale put $232k on Cabo Verde +2.5 amid a 400x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction despite limited wallet history.

  • A brand-new wallet placed $232k on Cabo Verde +2.5 at 45¢.
  • This same wallet has triggered 14 large-bet alerts totaling about $810k.
  • The market saw a 400x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.

$231,610 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable 17-wallet cluster

A highly profitable wallet tied to a 17-wallet funded cluster is taking a fresh Cabo Verde +2.5 position, though the individual trade size is modest versus market liquidity.

  • This bettor is up about $1.54M lifetime across a very large betting history.
  • The wallet is linked to a 17-wallet funded cluster, suggesting coordinated capital behind the trade.
  • They are buying Cabo Verde at 50¢, implying they see the underdog spread as mispriced.

$1,643 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable 17-wallet cluster

A highly profitable wallet tied to a 17-wallet funded cluster is taking a fresh Cabo Verde +2.5 position, though the individual trade size is modest versus market liquidity.

  • This bettor is up about $1.54M lifetime across a very large betting history.
  • The wallet is linked to a 17-wallet funded cluster, suggesting coordinated capital behind the trade.
  • They are buying Cabo Verde at 50¢, implying they see the underdog spread as mispriced.

$6,315 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 54%

New whale amid volume spike

A new wallet made a $15.4k pre-game bet on Spain alongside an extreme 337x volume spike and modest price momentum.

  • A new wallet put $15.4k on Spain to cover the -2.5 spread at 55¢.
  • Market activity is 337x above normal, with 46 trades during the spike.
  • Spain has moved up 4 points in the last day, matching the direction of this bet.

$15,422 on Spain

Profitable new whale buying Spain

New repeat whale wallet with huge early profit is buying Spain -2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new wallet has won its first 4 resolved bets and is up about $1.75M.
  • It has been flagged 16 times for large repeat bets, totaling about $1.36M in prior flagged activity.
  • Market volume is surging 276x above its historical average ahead of the game.

$1,754 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 100%

Three-wallet pre-game surge

Surfaced because three wallets bought $85k of Spain in a coordinated pre-game move alongside a 28x volume spike, despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets bought $85k of Spain at 55¢ in the same window.
  • Volume is running 28x above normal, and Spain has moved up 4 points today.
  • One participant is up $600k lifetime, though the largest buyer has a weak overall record.

$85,448 on Spain

81% winner joins volume surge

A proven 81% winner bought Cabo Verde into a major pre-event volume spike, making this a copy-worthy sharp sports position despite modest bet size.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is profitable across 70 bets.
  • They bought Cabo Verde at 46¢ while the market is seeing a 354x pre-game volume spike.
  • Entry at 46¢ gives roughly a 2.2x payout if Spain fail to win by 3+ goals.

$1,150 on Cabo Verde | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven sports sharp buying Spain

Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $569k lifetime profit bought $8k of Spain -2.5 at 53¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $569k lifetime.
  • They have traded 135 markets across 86 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The $8k buy at 53¢ is fresh conviction on Spain covering by 3+ goals.

$5,197 on Spain | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x84cf...2f63 Spain, $716,390 (49% win rate)
  2. 0xa4b1...5143 Spain, $699,999
  3. 0x2d7b...e2ce Cabo Verde, $554,378 (77% win rate)
  4. 0x97cb...e4d0 Cabo Verde, $514,690 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x204f...5e14 Cabo Verde, $483,933 (54% win rate)
  6. 0x8428...9210 Cabo Verde, $227,960
  7. 0xc67a...f0b6 Spain, $200,000 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x0346...52a5 Spain, $132,548 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x2c33...0563 Cabo Verde, $100,719 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x032e...2a9e Spain, $100,000 (77% win rate)

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Spread: Spain (-2.5)

3hSpain vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets$425,813 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Spain
56¢
Cabo Verde
45¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Spain
57¢
53¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

6h ago

$50,000 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

7h ago

$14,033 on Cabo Verde at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

7h ago

$231,610 on Cabo Verde at 45¢

45¢45¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$1,643 on Cabo Verde at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$6,315 on Cabo Verde at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$15,422 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

8h ago

$1,754 on Spain at 54¢

54¢56¢2¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

5h ago

$85,448 on Spain at 55¢

55¢56¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

9h ago

$1,150 on Cabo Verde at 46¢

46¢45¢1¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

11h ago

$5,197 on Spain at 53¢

53¢56¢3¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

10h ago

$1,060 on Spain at 53¢

53¢56¢3¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

11h ago

$8,050 on Spain at 53¢

53¢56¢3¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

20h ago

$1,188 on Cabo Verde at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

20h ago

$1,432 on Cabo Verde at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

1d ago

$1,512 on Cabo Verde at 50¢

50¢45¢5¢

Related Theses