Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

This Polymarket covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $10,344 in smart money and 3 recent signals, including activity around Fearnley.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,124.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated tennis move

Three wallets bought Jacob Fearnley in the same window before a major odds move, backed by serial cross-market sports bettors despite mixed lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets all backed Jacob Fearnley, with entries around 52–78¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
  • The trade coincided with a 28-point price break against Michelsen, a large move for a liquid tennis market.
  • One wallet has traded across 48 similar events with a 78% hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is negative.

$5,353 on Jacob Fearnley

Serial bettors align on Fearnley

Three wallets clustered on Jacob Fearnley, including a profitable high-volume bettor and two serial cross-market traders with 65% historical win rates.

  • The strongest wallet wins 65% across 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57k lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $3.8k on the same Fearnley side within five minutes.
  • Two bettors have long cross-market histories, with 36 and 80 prior event patterns at 65% wins.

$3,800 on Jacob Fearnley

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor made a large fresh bet on Michelsen in a market that was thin at the time, with a strong serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57K lifetime.
  • The $7.8K Michelsen buy was nearly 10x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time flagged.
  • They have bet across 79 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-trading process rather than a one-off wager.

$1,191 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor made a large fresh bet on Michelsen in a market that was thin at the time, with a strong serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57K lifetime.
  • The $7.8K Michelsen buy was nearly 10x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time flagged.
  • They have bet across 79 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-trading process rather than a one-off wager.

$7,781 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 10112610, $7,932 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 43955302, $4,266 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x9ec2...bd08 Outcome 10112610, $4,016 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x26eb...5369 Outcome 43955302, $3,573 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x0cdf...ec9e Outcome 43955302, $3,340 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 43955302, $2,245 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x30ae...4318 Outcome 43955302, $2,000 (76% win rate)
  8. 0x0828...a1a6 Outcome 43955302, $1,584 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xadfb...c2ef Outcome 43955302, $1,224
  10. 0x4c68...d4f2 Outcome 43955302, $555

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Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

4dWimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley$18,124 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Jacob Fearnley. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Alex Michelsen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jacob Fearnley
102¢
70¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

1d ago

$5,353 on Jacob Fearnley at 66¢

Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

1d ago

$3,800 on Jacob Fearnley at 52¢

Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

1d ago

$1,191 on Alex Michelsen at 57¢

Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

1d ago

$7,781 on Alex Michelsen at 57¢

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