Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley
This Polymarket covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $10,344 in smart money and 3 recent signals, including activity around Fearnley.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,124.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Coordinated tennis move
Three wallets bought Jacob Fearnley in the same window before a major odds move, backed by serial cross-market sports bettors despite mixed lifetime P&L.
- Three wallets all backed Jacob Fearnley, with entries around 52–78¢ before the market moved to 88¢.
- The trade coincided with a 28-point price break against Michelsen, a large move for a liquid tennis market.
- One wallet has traded across 48 similar events with a 78% hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is negative.
$5,353 on Jacob Fearnley
Serial bettors align on Fearnley
Three wallets clustered on Jacob Fearnley, including a profitable high-volume bettor and two serial cross-market traders with 65% historical win rates.
- The strongest wallet wins 65% across 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $3.8k on the same Fearnley side within five minutes.
- Two bettors have long cross-market histories, with 36 and 80 prior event patterns at 65% wins.
$3,800 on Jacob Fearnley
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor made a large fresh bet on Michelsen in a market that was thin at the time, with a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57K lifetime.
- The $7.8K Michelsen buy was nearly 10x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time flagged.
- They have bet across 79 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-trading process rather than a one-off wager.
$1,191 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor made a large fresh bet on Michelsen in a market that was thin at the time, with a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,348 resolved bets and is up $57K lifetime.
- The $7.8K Michelsen buy was nearly 10x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time flagged.
- They have bet across 79 similar events, suggesting a repeatable sports-trading process rather than a one-off wager.
$7,781 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10112610, $7,932 (62% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 43955302, $4,266 (73% win rate)
- 0x9ec2...bd08 — Outcome 10112610, $4,016 (42% win rate)
- 0x26eb...5369 — Outcome 43955302, $3,573 (96% win rate)
- 0x0cdf...ec9e — Outcome 43955302, $3,340 (90% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 43955302, $2,245 (51% win rate)
- 0x30ae...4318 — Outcome 43955302, $2,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x0828...a1a6 — Outcome 43955302, $1,584 (57% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Outcome 43955302, $1,224
- 0x4c68...d4f2 — Outcome 43955302, $555
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