Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - Second Half Result
Mexico to win the second half?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,755.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
89% win-rate whale
Elite profitable wallet with an 89% historical win rate is buying Mexico to win the second half amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have bet across 675 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off wager.
- Market volume is running 172x above its historical average, and this wallet bought Mexico at 37¢.
$1,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
85% winner-led No cluster
High-conviction cluster led by an 85% lifetime winner with $8.1M profit, backed by one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.1M joined this position.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $11.6K, pushing No from roughly 58–68¢ to 70¢.
- Market volume spiked 94x above normal ahead of the match, suggesting meaningful pre-game positioning.
$11,555 on No
Proven sharp in Yes cluster
A highly profitable 89% winner joined a $13.3k one-sided Yes cluster during a major pre-game volume spike.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $13.3k of Yes while market activity spiked 179x above normal.
- Entry around 38¢ implies they see Mexico winning the second half as underpriced.
$13,281 on Yes
Profitable serial trader buys NO
A profitable, very active cross-market trader put $34k on No during a 179x volume spike, making this a notable live-sports conviction bet despite only moderate historical hit rate.
- This bettor is up $394k across 1,729 resolved markets, with a 58% hit rate.
- They put $34k on No across six buys, larger than the market’s current $22.6k liquidity.
- Volume spiked 179x above normal, suggesting this was part of a broader rush into the market.
$34,126 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
89% win-rate whale
Elite profitable wallet with an 89% historical win rate is buying Mexico to win the second half amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have bet across 675 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off wager.
- Market volume is running 172x above its historical average, and this wallet bought Mexico at 37¢.
$2,336 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
High-volume bettor on No
Experienced high-volume bettor put $26k on No alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s win rate is solid rather than elite.
- This bettor is up $394k lifetime and has traded across 1,729 resolved markets.
- They put $26k on No at 64¢, a sizable position relative to the market’s $18.7k liquidity.
- Market activity spiked 172x above its usual pace before the game.
$26,157 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 22435216, $65,598 (89% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 22435216, $32,208 (71% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 36187412, $6,869
- 0x39fc...e2f2 — Outcome 22435216, $6,066 (54% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 22435216, $4,939 (76% win rate)
- 0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 22435216, $4,925
- 0x551c...fe91 — Outcome 22435216, $1,611 (72% win rate)
- 0x2ecb...7645 — Outcome 22435216, $1,592 (49% win rate)
- 0xeb79...47a9 — Outcome 22435216, $1,533
- 0xb9b2...8e7d — Outcome 22435216, $788
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