Part of: Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic
This prediction market covers the Valencia tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Dusan Lajovic, scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by May 22, 2026 if a winner is determined within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $38,761 in smart money across 3 signals, including recent Lajovic surge alerts and Tabilo flow from a profitable wallet.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,706.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader sold Tabilo before a sharp 29-point move, which converts to a contrarian buy on Lajovic at 43¢.
- This bettor has a strong long-term record, winning 74% of 265 resolved bets with $22.8K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 67 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting approach rather than a one-off wager.
- Selling Tabilo at 57¢ converts to buying Lajovic at 43¢, even though the market later moved hard toward Tabilo.
$3,554 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Six-wallet Lajovic surge
Six wallets put $27.1k on Dusan Lajovic amid a major pre-event volume spike, including high-volume tennis bettors with profitable long-run records, though the price has since fallen sharply from their entries.
- Six wallets all backed the same player with $27.1k, a strong one-sided move before the match.
- Two serial sports bettors are involved, including one with a 74% win record over 265 settled bets.
- Market volume spiked 102x versus normal, but the current 44¢ price is far below several entries as high as 84¢.
$27,128 on Dusan Lajovic
Volume spike momentum buyer
Surfacing due to a large Dusan Lajovic buy alongside a 102.8x volume spike and 21-point price move, despite the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L.
- Dusan Lajovic has moved up 21 points, and this bettor bought $8.1K at 84¢ into the move.
- Market activity is 102.8x above its historical average, suggesting fresh attention around the match.
- The wallet is experienced across 176 sports events, though its lifetime P&L is negative.
$8,080 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports bettor sold Tabilo at 52¢, effectively buying Lajovic at 48¢ before the market moved strongly toward Lajovic.
- This bettor has won 74% of 265 resolved bets and is up $22,848 lifetime.
- They effectively bought Dusan Lajovic at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢.
- This wallet has traded across 67 sports events, suggesting a repeatable match-selection pattern.
$2,289 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable wallet leads Tabilo flow
Three-wallet one-sided flow into Tabilo is supported by a major volume spike and one highly profitable wallet with $282k lifetime P&L leading most of the buy size.
- A bettor up $282k lifetime put $8.7k into Tabilo within one minute.
- Three wallets all moved the same way, totaling $11.6k on Tabilo.
- Volume spiked 488x above normal before the match, with Tabilo bought around 63–66¢.
$11,622 on Alejandro Tabilo
Sharp cluster buying favorite
Three wallets bought $11.9k of Tabilo into a sharp pre-match move, including a bettor with an 80% record and a serial cross-market history across 103 events.
- A bettor who wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $130k joined this Tabilo buy.
- Three wallets put $11.9k on the same side as the price jumped quickly toward Tabilo.
- The market saw a 14x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh money is piling in before the match.
$11,862 on Alejandro Tabilo
92% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Alejandro Tabilo at 52%, ahead of the market moving to 60%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $87k lifetime.
- They have traded across 510 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Alejandro Tabilo at 52%, and the market has already moved to 60%.
$1,053 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 92%
74% serial sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader effectively backed Dusan Lajovic at 44¢ against a market that has since moved to 50/50.
- This bettor has won 74% of 265 resolved bets and is up $23K lifetime.
- They have traded across 66 events with $142K in volume, suggesting a repeat sports strategy.
- Selling Tabilo at 56¢ is equivalent to buying Lajovic at 44¢, below the current 50/50 market price.
$1,017 on Dusan Lajovic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought $3.1k of Tabilo, a large share of this quiet market's daily volume.
- This bettor has won 71% of more than 21,000 resolved bets and is up $165,607 lifetime.
- The $3,101 buy was 74% of this market’s 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
- They have a long cross-market betting history across 271 events, with over $1.0M tracked in similar activity.
$3,101 on Alejandro Tabilo | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 54516332, $10,474 (73% win rate)
- 0x8b52...568e — Outcome 54516332, $9,619 (65% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 54516332, $2,658 (92% win rate)
- 0xe7ca...a175 — Outcome 54516332, $2,000 (25% win rate)
- 0x0cef...fa91 — Outcome 54516332, $1,996 (66% win rate)
- 0x7b89...f3a9 — Outcome 54516332, $1,790
- 0x3f34...ed6a — Outcome 54516332, $1,383
- 0x8492...f17c — Outcome 54516332, $1,000
- 0xa664...f849 — Outcome 54516332, $1,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xa0f2...1848 — Outcome 54516332, $986 (38% win rate)
