Part of: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will achieve the highest market capitalization among companies completing U.S. IPOs during 2026. The winner is determined by market cap at each company’s official closing price on its first trading day, with the market resolving by December 31, 2026; live odds are not included in the provided metadata.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $10,019.
Categories: Business, Big Tech, Climate & Science, IPO, Science, sam altman, Elon Musk, IPOs, SpaceX, Finance, OpenAI, Space, OpenAI IPO
Notable Trades
Serial 92% winner buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate placed a concentrated $10,019 No bet in a thin market, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of 1,534 resolved trades and is up nearly $3.0 million.
- The wallet placed a concentrated $10,019 bet on No at 73¢, representing over six times the flagged 24-hour volume.
- The market has already moved 15.3% in one day toward No, reinforcing the trader’s direction.
$10,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xffbb...36e9 — Yes, $162,231 (71% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $142,359
- 0x3a8a...7699 — No, $139,613 (63% win rate)
- 0x9032...8717 — Yes, $35,116 (49% win rate)
- 0x7d7d...e3e5 — Yes, $26,237
- 0x56c9...0d9e — No, $16,750 (92% win rate)
- 0x7447...a16d — Yes, $13,588 (52% win rate)
- 0xbace...3429 — Yes, $13,375 (76% win rate)
- 0x6d4a...f05f — Yes, $10,000 (0% win rate)
- 0x72ae...9b0a — Yes, $6,474
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