This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $621K lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.17M deployed across 807 markets. They paid 88¢ for Yes on a volatile exact-outcome market now showing a much lower 31¢ price.

Part of: NBA Playoffs: Finals Exact Outcome

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,149.

Categories: NBA, Basketball, NBA All-Star, NBA Playoffs, 2026 NBA Playoffs, NBA Finals

Notable Trades

80% winner paid 88¢

A highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 88¢, though the market has since fallen sharply to 31¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $621K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.17M deployed across 807 markets.
They paid 88¢ for Yes on a volatile exact-outcome market now showing a much lower 31¢ price.

$3,419 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven bettor fades exact outcome

Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet is taking a sizable No position in a thin exact-outcome market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor has won 79% of 1,392 resolved trades and is up $10.8K lifetime.
The $1.7K buy was large for this quiet market, equal to 91% of the past day’s volume.
They are betting No at 79¢, fading the exact Knicks 4-1 Finals outcome.

$1,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 44058177, $17,912
0x8e8d...5a27 — Outcome 44058177, $17,142
0x0997...c238 — Outcome 44058177, $3,108
0xdacf...3c74 — Outcome 44058177, $2,967 (84% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 44058177, $1,039
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 44058177, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 44058177, $728
0x78c5...f623 — Outcome 44058177, $400
0xc46e...c052 — Outcome 44058177, $310
0x39ae...86d4 — Outcome 44058177, $300

Related Theses

Thunder or Spurs win Finals

Covers 3 related markets

Cavaliers won't win East

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win Finals 4-1

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

ResolvedNBA Playoffs: Finals Exact Outcome$5,149 tracked2 signalsNBABasketballNBA All-StarNBA Playoffs2026 NBA PlayoffsNBA Finals

This market will resolve according to the exact series outcome of the 2026 NBA Finals series between the New York Knicks and the San Antonio Spurs. Exact series outcome is defined as the winning team and final game tally (e.g. Spurs 4-1 Knicks, Knicks 4-0 Spurs). Only completed series outcomes will count toward a resolution for this market. If the 2026 NBA Finals is cancelled, postponed after July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined completed series outcome within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.