Part of: Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,669.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Strong follow/study signal from a highly profitable serial sports bettor joining one-sided draw flow before the market moved to 100%, though the copy window appears gone.

This bettor has a strong record: 68% wins across 5,747 resolved bets and +$883k lifetime profit.
Eight wallets bought the same Yes outcome for $27.6k, and the price jumped 40 percentage points.
They entered the draw at 49¢ before it moved to 100¢, suggesting a sharp live-game read.

$1,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

85% winner caught live draw

High-signal live sports trade from a proven 85% winner, reinforced by one-sided flow and a 40-point price move, though the market is now effectively settled at 100%.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
8 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $27.6K in one-sided draw bets.
They entered at 53¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong live-game timing.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

5-wallet sharp cluster

A 5-wallet one-sided cluster is buying Yes with $31k, including highly profitable serial cross-market traders and a linked funder signal.

Five wallets bought the same side for $31k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
One buyer has an 85% record across 815 resolved bets and is up over $1M lifetime.
Another major buyer has 5,747 resolved bets and is up $883k, adding credibility to the flow.

$31,114 on Yes

Profitable new whale buying draw

A 22-day-old repeat large bettor with positive P&L is putting $19.4k on the draw alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This 22-day-old bettor is already up $40.5k and has repeatedly made large flagged bets.
They put $19.4k on Yes at 29¢ across four buys shortly before the match window.
Market activity is surging, with volume running 118x above its historical average.

$19,430 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

LLM evaluation inconclusive

$18,823 | Wallet win rate: 44%

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,028 | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 83389880, $161,117
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 83389880, $142,271 (53% win rate)
0xc2c8...5471 — Outcome 83389880, $30,000 (60% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 83389880, $27,300 (68% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 83389880, $19,529 (56% win rate)
0x9602...4d02 — Outcome 83389880, $14,021 (84% win rate)
0x4b49...0397 — Outcome 83389880, $2,000 (74% win rate)
0xc463...9a2f — Outcome 83389880, $2,000 (54% win rate)
0xc1c9...1706 — Outcome 83389880, $1,890
0x8868...ec09 — Outcome 83389880, $1,762 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

ResolvedClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC$73,669 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUCL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.