Part of: Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $155,857.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

New wallet joined Over surge

High-conviction Over buy from a repeat new wallet amid 7-wallet one-sided flow, a 183x volume spike, and a 35-point price move to 100%.

  • A 2-day-old wallet put $10,000 on Over at 46¢ after already placing $83,105 in flagged bets.
  • Seven wallets all bought the same side, totaling $25,195 on Over.
  • The market saw a 183x volume spike and Over has already moved from 46¢ to 100¢.

$10,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 84%

94% serial sports bettor

A very high-volume serial sports trader with a 94% resolved-bet record bought Over at 90¢ amid coordinated one-sided flow and a sharp price move to near-certain resolution.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 1,582 resolved bets and is up about $60K lifetime.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling about $25K on Over.
  • The market moved sharply toward Over, rising 35 points after a major volume spike.

$4,495 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable whales piling into Over

High-scoring alert with 7-wallet Over flow, a 134x volume spike, major price movement, and multiple profitable high-volume sports traders involved despite some opposing Under flow.

  • Several profitable high-volume bettors are buying Over, including one up $1.3M lifetime and another up $645K.
  • Seven wallets put $30K on the same side as Over jumped sharply to 55%.
  • Market volume is exploding at 134x normal, with more than $462K traded in the last 24 hours.

$30,339 on Over

93% winner joins Under wave

Highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% historical win rate bought Under, alongside a large one-sided wave into the same outcome.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $105K lifetime.
  • Five wallets have bought the same Under side for about $90K total.
  • Under has jumped about 16 points amid a 134x pre-event volume spike.

$1,200 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp exits into Under flow

Surface despite the wallet’s sell being partly profit-taking because a 97% historical winner is exiting Over while five wallets have pushed $90.8k the same way toward Under amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 33 of 34 resolved bets and is up about $5k lifetime.
  • Five wallets have all leaned toward Under, totaling about $90.8k on the same side.
  • Volume is 134x normal and the market has moved sharply, suggesting this total is being actively repriced.

$1,650 on Under | Wallet win rate: 97%

Five-wallet sharp cluster

High-conviction five-wallet Under cluster with nearly $40k staked, including two highly profitable sharp wallets and a 68x pre-event volume spike.

  • Two proven bettors joined the move, including one who wins 93% of tracked bets and is up $105k.
  • Five wallets put nearly $40k on Under, with the largest fill about $19.8k at 46¢.
  • Volume is 68x above normal, and the group is buying Under after a sharp price drop.

$39,973 on Under

Linked wallets chasing Over

High-scoring Over move is supported by a large pre-event volume spike, sharp price impact, and linked-wallet activity despite this specific trade being modest.

  • Two linked wallets have put serious money behind the same Over side, with $137K tied to the shared funder.
  • The market saw a 67x volume spike and Over jumped about 29 percentage points, suggesting strong one-way momentum.
  • This wallet has deep Polymarket history and is up about $720K lifetime, though its win rate is only 54%.

$1,342 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%

$1.3M winner Under cluster

A high-scoring cluster of three wallets, including a $1.3M lifetime-profitable bettor and two linked wallets, put $66.9k on Under despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • A bettor up $1.3M lifetime led a $66.9k cluster buying Under.
  • Two wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than isolated bets.
  • Under now trades near 36¢ versus their roughly 64¢ entry, making the copy price far cheaper than what they paid.

$66,858 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x10a6...4d8b Outcome 30779094, $24,871 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xcfa2...11fd Outcome 30779094, $14,354
  3. 0x12b9...3ec2 Outcome 30779094, $6,816 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x24a5...5d07 Outcome 30779094, $5,100 (93% win rate)
  5. 0xdc0c...d4db Outcome 30779094, $3,478 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x224f...514a Outcome 30779094, $3,000 (84% win rate)
  7. 0xedef...03b6 Outcome 30779094, $2,919 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x6982...a165 Outcome 30779094, $2,575 (99% win rate)
  9. 0xf021...e900 Outcome 30779094, $2,003 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x9905...add3 Outcome 30779094, $2,000 (72% win rate)

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Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

ResolvedSweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets$155,857 tracked8 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Sweden and Tunisia, scheduled for June 14 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sweden and Tunisia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$10,000 on Over at 46¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$4,495 on Over at 90¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$30,339 on Over at 55¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$1,200 on Under at 44¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$1,650 on Under at 45¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$39,973 on Under at 46¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$1,342 on Over at 66¢

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5

33d ago

$66,858 on Under at 64¢

Related Theses