Part of: Sweden vs. Tunisia - More Markets
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $155,857.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
New wallet joined Over surge
High-conviction Over buy from a repeat new wallet amid 7-wallet one-sided flow, a 183x volume spike, and a 35-point price move to 100%.
- A 2-day-old wallet put $10,000 on Over at 46¢ after already placing $83,105 in flagged bets.
- Seven wallets all bought the same side, totaling $25,195 on Over.
- The market saw a 183x volume spike and Over has already moved from 46¢ to 100¢.
$10,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 84%
94% serial sports bettor
A very high-volume serial sports trader with a 94% resolved-bet record bought Over at 90¢ amid coordinated one-sided flow and a sharp price move to near-certain resolution.
- This bettor has won 94% of 1,582 resolved bets and is up about $60K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling about $25K on Over.
- The market moved sharply toward Over, rising 35 points after a major volume spike.
$4,495 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable whales piling into Over
High-scoring alert with 7-wallet Over flow, a 134x volume spike, major price movement, and multiple profitable high-volume sports traders involved despite some opposing Under flow.
- Several profitable high-volume bettors are buying Over, including one up $1.3M lifetime and another up $645K.
- Seven wallets put $30K on the same side as Over jumped sharply to 55%.
- Market volume is exploding at 134x normal, with more than $462K traded in the last 24 hours.
$30,339 on Over
93% winner joins Under wave
Highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% historical win rate bought Under, alongside a large one-sided wave into the same outcome.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $105K lifetime.
- Five wallets have bought the same Under side for about $90K total.
- Under has jumped about 16 points amid a 134x pre-event volume spike.
$1,200 on Under | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp exits into Under flow
Surface despite the wallet’s sell being partly profit-taking because a 97% historical winner is exiting Over while five wallets have pushed $90.8k the same way toward Under amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 33 of 34 resolved bets and is up about $5k lifetime.
- Five wallets have all leaned toward Under, totaling about $90.8k on the same side.
- Volume is 134x normal and the market has moved sharply, suggesting this total is being actively repriced.
$1,650 on Under | Wallet win rate: 97%
Five-wallet sharp cluster
High-conviction five-wallet Under cluster with nearly $40k staked, including two highly profitable sharp wallets and a 68x pre-event volume spike.
- Two proven bettors joined the move, including one who wins 93% of tracked bets and is up $105k.
- Five wallets put nearly $40k on Under, with the largest fill about $19.8k at 46¢.
- Volume is 68x above normal, and the group is buying Under after a sharp price drop.
$39,973 on Under
Linked wallets chasing Over
High-scoring Over move is supported by a large pre-event volume spike, sharp price impact, and linked-wallet activity despite this specific trade being modest.
- Two linked wallets have put serious money behind the same Over side, with $137K tied to the shared funder.
- The market saw a 67x volume spike and Over jumped about 29 percentage points, suggesting strong one-way momentum.
- This wallet has deep Polymarket history and is up about $720K lifetime, though its win rate is only 54%.
$1,342 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
$1.3M winner Under cluster
A high-scoring cluster of three wallets, including a $1.3M lifetime-profitable bettor and two linked wallets, put $66.9k on Under despite the market moving sharply against them.
- A bettor up $1.3M lifetime led a $66.9k cluster buying Under.
- Two wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than isolated bets.
- Under now trades near 36¢ versus their roughly 64¢ entry, making the copy price far cheaper than what they paid.
$66,858 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 30779094, $24,871 (72% win rate)
- 0xcfa2...11fd — Outcome 30779094, $14,354
- 0x12b9...3ec2 — Outcome 30779094, $6,816 (48% win rate)
- 0x24a5...5d07 — Outcome 30779094, $5,100 (93% win rate)
- 0xdc0c...d4db — Outcome 30779094, $3,478 (78% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 30779094, $3,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xedef...03b6 — Outcome 30779094, $2,919 (100% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 30779094, $2,575 (99% win rate)
- 0xf021...e900 — Outcome 30779094, $2,003 (66% win rate)
- 0x9905...add3 — Outcome 30779094, $2,000 (72% win rate)
Related Theses
KT Rolster wins Game 2
Covers 1 related market
Iraq Norway under 3.5 goals
Covers 1 related market
Deep Cross beats GAM
Covers 1 related market
Haiti Scotland stays low scoring
Covers 1 related market
Ecuador wins 1-0
Covers 5 related markets
Sweden Tunisia goalfest likely
Covers 1 related market
T1 beats BNK FearX
Covers 1 related market
Bosnia Qatar high-scoring shootout
Covers 3 related markets
Morocco-Haiti goal fest with both scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Canada routs Qatar in shutout
Covers 5 related markets
