Part of: Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

This Polymarket tennis market covers the Istanbul 3 match between Max Basing and Edas Butvilas, scheduled for September 11, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; a recent smart-money signal backed Edas Butvilas at 44¢, while another sharp bettor added to Max Basing. The market may resolve early based on the match result, with fallback rules applying if the match is canceled or remains undecided.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,581.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial bettor scaling into Max Basing

A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and 20-point edge added $4,290 to an existing Max Basing position at 66 cents.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 380 resolved trades and is up $200,028 lifetime.
  • They added $4,290 to an existing Max Basing position at 66¢, showing increased conviction.
  • The market has moved to 78%, above the suggested 76¢ copy ceiling, so the original entry is no longer available at the preferred price.

$4,290 on Max Basing | Wallet win rate: 80%

Four-wallet tennis conviction cluster

Four wallets, including highly profitable bettors, concentrated $13.4K on Max Basing amid a 93x volume spike and 17.5-point price rise.

  • Four wallets committed $13,391 to Max Basing, with three adding to existing positions rather than merely taking profits.
  • Two major participants win 80% and 75% of resolved bets, while another has earned $6.7M lifetime.
  • The coordinated buying coincided with a 93x volume spike and a 17.5-point move, taking Max Basing to 80%.

$13,391 on Max Basing

Sharp bettor backs Edas at 44¢

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $2,900 contrarian bet on Edas Butvilas at 44%.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 399 resolved trades and is up $860,065 lifetime.
  • They bought $2,900 of Edas Butvilas at 44¢ despite the market falling to 38%, signaling strong contrarian conviction.
  • The entry price implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the current 38% market estimate.

$2,900 on Edas Butvilas | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x54ba...04e4 Outcome 19425696, $6,549 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 19425696, $2,807 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xf092...5749 Outcome 19425696, $2,686 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xa283...61e5 Outcome 19425696, $2,000 (77% win rate)
  5. 0xe8d3...acf8 Outcome 19425696, $771
  6. 0x13c4...4295 Outcome 19425696, $568
  7. 0x28e0...2e6b Outcome 19425696, $399 (57% win rate)
  8. 0xd9e0...05f2 Outcome 10016911, $362 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x545d...c122 Outcome 19425696, $307 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x5a97...7a1b Outcome 19425696, $239

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Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

6dIstanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas$20,581 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Basing and Edas Butvilas in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Edas Butvilas. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Max Basing. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Max Basing
89¢
60¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

8h ago

$4,290 on Max Basing at 66¢

Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

9h ago

$13,391 on Max Basing at 79¢

Istanbul 3: Max Basing vs Edas Butvilas

9h ago

$2,900 on Edas Butvilas at 44¢

Related Theses