Part of: China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev

China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $303,006.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Six-wallet Djokovic buying cluster

Six wallets bought Djokovic for $63,141 as one trader added $55,683 to an existing position amid a 67x volume spike.

Six wallets put $63,141 behind Djokovic in the same direction.
This trader added $55,683 to an existing $464,634 Djokovic position.
Trading volume surged to 67 times its historical average as the buys came in.

$55,683 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 67%

Whale scaling into Djokovic

A profitable, high-volume bettor added about $115K to an already large Djokovic position during a 108.8x volume spike and a sharp price move.

A bettor up $703K overall added about $115K to an existing $465K Djokovic position.
The buying coincided with a 108.8x volume spike and a 17-point price rise.
The seven trades averaged roughly 41¢, below the current 44% odds.

$114,951 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 67%

Five-wallet Djokovic buying cluster

A five-wallet cluster committed about $70.8K to Djokovic, with the largest wallet adding to an already substantial position, though opposing Medvedev flow makes the overall signal mixed.

Five wallets were flagged buying Djokovic, with about $70.8K in detected cluster activity.
The largest Djokovic buyer added roughly $59K while already holding a $311K position.
There is opposing Medvedev activity too, so the flow is not unanimous; Djokovic trades averaged about 39¢.

$32,927 on Novak Djokovic

Seven-wallet Djokovic buying cluster

A seven-wallet cluster deployed about $96,000 on Djokovic, while this profitable high-volume bettor added roughly $55,000 despite already holding a large position.

Seven wallets put about $96,000 on Djokovic, with this bettor adding roughly $55,000 across eight buys.
The bettor has made about $703,000 on $5.8 million invested and is substantially scaling an existing Djokovic position.
The buys averaged about 47¢, while the market is now around 22¢—a sharp move against their position.

$54,741 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 67%

Three-wallet cluster; 47-win bettor

Three wallets bought Medvedev for $4,565, including a bettor with a 47-for-47 record and substantial profit, making the coordinated position worth surfacing.

Three wallets backed Medvedev with $4,565 in buys, including two adding to existing positions.
One bettor is 47-for-47 on resolved positions, up $25,129, with an average winning entry price of 55¢.
The buys were made at 57¢ while the market is around 56¢.

$30,528 on Daniil Medvedev

47-0 bettor adding to Medvedev

A proven bettor with 47 wins from 47 resolved positions and substantial lifetime profit is adding to a Medvedev position, alongside a sharp volume spike.

This bettor has won all 47 resolved positions and is up $24,266.
They are adding $1,000 to Medvedev at 57¢; market volume is running 34× its historical average.

$1,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial trader backs Medvedev

A highly profitable bettor with 88% wins across 552 resolved bets and extensive cross-market activity buys Medvedev at 56%.

This bettor has won 88% of 552 resolved bets and is up $212,880.
They are backing Medvedev at 56¢ despite the market favoring him only modestly, with a $1,000 position.
The wallet has traded across 191 events, showing a sustained record beyond a single market.

$1,000 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 89%

95% winner backing Djokovic

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is placing a sizable bet on Djokovic at 44¢.

This bettor has won 344 of 363 resolved positions and is up $4.43M.
They are putting $12,176 on Djokovic at 44¢, below their 46¢ average winning entry price.
The trader has positioned across 427 events, showing a sustained record rather than a one-off bet.

$12,176 on Novak Djokovic | Wallet win rate: 95%