Part of: Seville: Facundo Acosta vs Sebastian Ofner
Seville: Facundo Acosta vs Sebastian Ofner
This Seville tennis prediction market tracks whether Facundo Acosta or Sebastian Ofner advances in their scheduled match on September 11, 2026, at 5:00 AM ET. The market currently includes $3,765 in tracked smart money and signals backing both players; check the live market for the latest odds. It resolves to the player who advances, subject to the exchange’s cancellation and deadline rules.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Sebastian Ofner in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Sebastian Ofner. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,396.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet tennis conviction cluster
Seven wallets committed over $50,000 to Facundo Acosta amid a 546x volume spike and 22.5-point price rise, including multiple highly profitable bettors with strong historical edges.
- Seven wallets bought Facundo Acosta for more than $50,000, driving the market from roughly 58% to 80%.
- One bettor has won 93% of 2,642 resolved positions with a $2.29 million profit, while another has won 77% at a meaningful edge.
- The strongest entries were around 51–64%; with the price already near 80%, chasing above 70¢ offers a weaker risk-reward profile.
$50,472 on Facundo Acosta
95% winner backs Ofner
A proven 95% bettor bought Ofner at a major discount while three wallets committed $4,101 to the same outcome, though the current price has already risen substantially.
- This bettor has won 95% of 470 resolved trades and is up $452,723, buying at average odds of just 45%.
- Three wallets invested $4,101 on Sebastian Ofner, including a $1,500 entry at 41¢ while the market is now near 66¢.
- Ofner’s price rose about 22 percentage points, suggesting the early coordinated buying was directionally influential.
$4,101 on Sebastian Ofner
Profitable bettor adds to Acosta
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with 229 resolved trades is adding to an Acosta position alongside two other buyers despite the market moving against him.
- This bettor wins 61% of 229 resolved trades and is up $61,432 lifetime.
- The wallet is adding $1,015 to an existing Acosta position, bringing its investment to roughly $3,687.
- Three wallets bought Acosta for $3,765 combined while the price recently fell 25%, signaling coordinated conviction.
$1,015 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 61%
95% win-rate bettor adds to Ofner
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge added to an existing Sebastian Ofner position at 41¢ before the price rose to 52¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of 469 resolved positions and is up $451,000 lifetime.
- They added $1,500 to an existing Ofner position at 41¢, with the market now at 52¢.
- The entry price implied roughly a 2.4x payout if Ofner advances, and the bettor has traded 327 events.
$1,500 on Sebastian Ofner | Wallet win rate: 95%
184-0 bettor scales into Acosta
A proven 184-0 bettor is adding $6,400 to an existing Acosta position in an extremely thin market.
- This bettor has won all 184 resolved trades, with $173,106 in realized profit and a 24-point edge over average entry odds.
- They added $6,400 to an existing Acosta position, bringing their investment to roughly $16,770.
- The new bet exceeds the market’s entire $57 in 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
$3,908 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 100%
184-0 bettor scales into Acosta
A proven 184-0 bettor is adding $6,400 to an existing Acosta position in an extremely thin market.
- This bettor has won all 184 resolved trades, with $173,106 in realized profit and a 24-point edge over average entry odds.
- They added $6,400 to an existing Acosta position, bringing their investment to roughly $16,770.
- The new bet exceeds the market’s entire $57 in 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
$6,400 on Facundo Acosta | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x78be...bde0 — Facundo Acosta, $50,481 (52% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Sebastian Ofner, $30,137 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Sebastian Ofner, $23,790 (65% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Facundo Acosta, $19,009 (62% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Sebastian Ofner, $13,253 (58% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Sebastian Ofner, $8,186 (70% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Facundo Acosta, $6,825 (58% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Facundo Acosta, $5,664 (93% win rate)
- 0x25bf...ef3d — Sebastian Ofner, $5,375
- 0x796f...00f6 — Sebastian Ofner, $4,000 (64% win rate)
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