Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,040.
Categories: Soccer, La Liga, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner in Yes cluster
A proven 92% winning wallet with positive lifetime P&L joined a $7k one-sided Yes cluster, though the market has already moved sharply against the trade.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $108k bought Yes at 89¢.
- Three wallets put about $7k on the same Yes outcome during a major volume spike.
- The trade has moved sharply against them, with Yes now shown near 0%, so this is high-risk and time-sensitive.
$6,962 on Yes
Profitable sports grinder
A highly active cross-market sports trader with substantial lifetime profit is buying No, making the otherwise modest signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor is up about $587K across a very large history of resolved bets.
- They have traded 1,975 events and $17.5M across related markets, suggesting a systematic sports approach.
- They bought No at 56¢, fading Rayo despite the market moving toward Yes recently.
$2,652 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%
Cluster with profitable sports pros
Five wallets bought Rayo Yes for $16.8k, including profitable high-volume sports traders, a new profitable repeat whale, and a 52x pre-event volume spike.
- Five wallets put $16.8k on the same side, with two linked by the same funder.
- The biggest buyer is a new 11-day wallet already up $6.2k and repeatedly making large bets.
- Several buyers are high-volume sports traders, including one up $3.1M lifetime across 13k resolved bets.
$16,838 on Yes
Sharp cluster buys No
A 9-wallet one-sided cluster, including several highly profitable sports bettors, bought $36.6k of No just before the Rayo match market cutoff amid a major volume spike.
- Nine wallets bought $36.6k of No in the same few minutes, with two wallets sharing a funder.
- Several bettors have elite records, including one up $871k with 93% wins and another up $649k with 88% wins.
- Volume spiked 58x above normal, and the entry at 57¢ suggests coordinated confidence against a Rayo win.
$36,607 on No
94% sharp soccer bettor
Surface: a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 94% record is buying No on a liquid soccer market, despite only a single win-rate signal.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved bets and is up $21.4K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 53¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
- They bought No at 62¢, implying conviction that Rayo does not win in regular time.
$3,652 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
98% winner buys No
Elite 98% winning cross-market sports bettor bought No on Rayo with a strong long-run profit record and market volume spiking pre-event.
- This bettor has won 98% of 100 resolved bets and is up about $3.48M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 106 events, with $3.4M in flagged activity and the same 98% hit rate.
- Market activity is surging before the match, with volume about 254x above its historical average.
$1,830 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
87% winner buying No
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L bought No on Rayo at 60¢, making the bettor’s track record the key signal despite modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $13.2K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 46¢ odds, showing they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
- They bought No at 60¢ in a liquid market, so the signal is mainly the bettor’s proven track record.
$1,126 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
91% serial sports winner
Sharp serial sports trader with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought No on Rayo Vallecano at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $110K lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 events with the same 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 60¢ means they are backing Rayo not to win at a price close to the current market.
$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No on Rayo at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $108,655 lifetime.
- They have traded across 62 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
- Buying No at 60¢ means they are backing Rayo not to win at a still-liquid price.
$1,323 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
79% winner buying No
A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate is buying No into a sharp pre-event volume spike on a liquid soccer market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $13.2K lifetime.
- They have been flagged 13 times before, suggesting a repeat bettor rather than a one-off wallet.
- Market volume just spiked over 3,000x normal, and this trade aligns with the current 59¢ No side.
$1,457 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x9158...fa7b — Outcome 14656939, $50,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x2cf6...9af0 — Outcome 14656939, $25,178 (75% win rate)
- 0xb44e...c2c6 — Outcome 14656939, $20,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10217929, $15,768
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 14656939, $5,092 (44% win rate)
- 0x203d...2b2c — Outcome 14656939, $4,786 (43% win rate)
- 0x5b90...52ae — Outcome 14656939, $4,103 (21% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 14656939, $3,600 (91% win rate)
- 0x4a8d...31ea — Outcome 14656939, $3,325 (98% win rate)
- 0x551e...a3f4 — Outcome 14656939, $1,400
