Part of: "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,419.

Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 71% wallet is buying Yes across related box-office markets, and this entry already moved favorably from 60% to 73% amid a sharp 1-day price jump.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 76 resolved bets and is up $28.6K lifetime.
  • They are building a cross-market box-office view, with $3.7K across 2 related markets.
  • Entry at 60¢ is already ahead of the current 73¢ market after a 43-point daily move.

$2,145 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable box-office bettor

Surface: this is a profitable 71% lifetime bettor making a cross-market movie box-office position, though the signal is moderate and entry is slightly above current odds.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 76 resolved bets and is up $28.6K lifetime.
  • They are putting $3.2K across two related markets, suggesting a broader box-office thesis.
  • Yes has already moved up 27.5 points in the past day, and this buy adds to that momentum.

$1,706 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable 71% wallet is adding a cross-market Yes position into strong upward momentum on a niche box-office market.

  • This bettor has won 71% of resolved trades and is up $28.6k lifetime.
  • They are betting across 2 related markets on the same movie, suggesting a broader box-office thesis.
  • The market has moved up 31.5 points in a day, and this buy came at 60¢ into that momentum.

$1,568 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 81985773, $16,816
  2. 0x6408...d5c6 Outcome 81985773, $2,716
  3. 0x8adb...e4f6 Outcome 81985773, $2,279 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x2301...7fa8 Outcome 81985773, $1,688
  5. 0xb57a...b8c3 Outcome 81985773, $1,660 (76% win rate)
  6. 0xdb71...10cd Outcome 81985773, $1,294
  7. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 81985773, $1,133
  8. 0x33f8...c5e4 Outcome 81985773, $665 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x62f5...453f Outcome 81985773, $500
  10. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 81985773, $474

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Michael tops 35m weekend

Covers 2 related markets

Obsession tops $15 million

Covers 2 related markets

Mandalorian opens below $112M

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Resolved"Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office$5,419 tracked3 signalsMoviesbox officeCultureRewards 200, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve according to how much "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
62¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

12d ago

$2,145 on Yes at 60¢

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

12d ago

$1,706 on Yes at 61¢

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

12d ago

$1,568 on Yes at 60¢

Related Theses