Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

This Polymarket market predicts whether Bitcoin will finish the May 29, 11:35 PM–11:40 PM ET window at or above its starting BTC/USD price. It resolves “Up” if Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream shows the ending price is greater than or equal to the beginning price; otherwise it resolves “Down.” PolySpotter tracks live odds plus $1,074 in smart money activity from 1 signal on this market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,976.

Notable Trades

Sharp BTC timer

Sharp BTC micro-market trader with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Up at 34¢ shortly before resolution on a very quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $11.7K lifetime.
  • They bought Up at 34¢, implying a nearly 3x payout if correct.
  • The bet was placed 5.4 minutes before resolution and was over 7x the market’s 24h volume.

$1,074 on Up | Wallet win rate: 77%

New crypto timer, 7-0

A brand-new wallet with a 7-0 start and $7.1K profit made another large short-term BTC bet minutes before resolution on a nearly inactive market.

  • This new wallet is 7-for-7 so far and already up $7.1K in its first hour.
  • It bought $1.9K of Down minutes before resolution, far larger than the market’s recent volume.
  • Entry at 67¢ has already moved to 78¢, suggesting the bet was quickly validated by price action.

$1,902 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xee20...4b3c — Outcome 97977150, $2,391
  2. 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 97977150, $1,500
  3. 0xf1e0...0f73 — Outcome 97977150, $1,200
  4. 0x663d...7d23 — Outcome 97977150, $951
  5. 0x4de8...76ba — Outcome 97977150, $754
  6. 0x2709...20f5 — Outcome 97977150, $661
  7. 0x5025...ce88 — Outcome 97977150, $594 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x047d...a8b7 — Outcome 97977150, $564
  9. 0x00e0...8a94 — Outcome 97977150, $500
  10. 0xe226...f76b — Outcome 97977150, $400

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2,976 tracked2 signals

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

16h ago

$1,074 on Up at 34¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

16h ago

$1,902 on Down at 67¢