Part of: AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $104,440.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea

Notable Trades

75% winner over 1,023 bets

Sharp high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought AC Milan -1.5 before the market moved 11 points in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $51K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 44 events with the same 75% win rate.
  • Bought AC Milan at 51¢ before the market moved to 62¢, suggesting the entry was well-timed.

$1,034 on AC Milan | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable repeat whale

Surfaced because a repeat large bettor with substantial lifetime profit is taking a fresh $10k position on a same-day Serie A spread, even though the automated signal itself is weak.

  • This repeat large bettor is up $718k across 120 resolved trades.
  • They bought $10k of AC Milan -1.5 at 46¢, implying roughly a 2.2x payout if Milan win by 2+.
  • The market is liquid, so the main reason to follow is the wallet’s profit record rather than price impact.

$10,000 on AC Milan | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit bought Cagliari +1.5 despite only modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 8,358 resolved bets and is up $11.9M lifetime.
  • They are a major serial sports trader, with $16.9M tracked across 2,236 markets.
  • Buying Cagliari Calcio at 52¢ suggests they favor the underdog spread side despite AC Milan being the headline favorite.

$1,956 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp 78% sports bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% record over 91 resolved bets bought AC Milan -1.5 despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime.
  • Their wins came at roughly 50¢ average odds, suggesting a real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.
  • They put $4.9k on AC Milan -1.5 at 49¢ in a liquid Serie A spread market.

$4,889 on AC Milan | Wallet win rate: 78%

97% winner backs favorite spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 36-1 resolved record and strong profit is buying AC Milan -1.5 at 49¢.

  • This bettor has won 36 of 37 resolved trades and is up $31K lifetime.
  • They are buying AC Milan -1.5 at 49¢, implying nearly a 2x payout if Milan win by 2+ goals.
  • Their average prior winning entry was also around 49¢, suggesting this is the type of spot they have historically hit.

$1,240 on AC Milan | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% winner on sports spread

Elite sports bettor with a 96% historical win rate and $3.87M profit bought $5.5k of Cagliari +1.5 at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.87M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $4.2M tracked across 144 events.
  • A $5.5k buy at 51¢ suggests they make Cagliari +1.5 better than a coin flip.

$5,519 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying underdog spread

Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% resolved-bet win rate bought Cagliari Calcio on the spread despite the alert itself being only a volume-spike signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
  • They bought Cagliari Calcio at 50¢, backing AC Milan not to win by 2+ goals.
  • The market saw a 631x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual late interest.

$3,035 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% sharp fading Milan spread

Surface: a highly profitable 96% winner placed a $36.9k position on Cagliari +1.5 after activity spiked sharply in a previously quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $3.87M lifetime.
  • They put $36.9k on Cagliari +1.5, far larger than the market’s prior quiet activity.
  • Entry around 49.5¢ implies they see meaningful value in Cagliari keeping the match within one goal.

$36,866 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% sharp fades Milan spread

Elite 96% win-rate sports bettor put nearly $40k on Cagliari +1.5 in a quiet market, dwarfing recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $3.87M lifetime.
  • They put $39.9k on Cagliari +1.5, over 60x the market’s 24h volume.
  • This is a serial cross-market sports trader with $4.16M deployed across 143 events.

$39,901 on Cagliari Calcio | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3fd9...1ef0 Outcome 83309983, $93,853 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 28271305, $21,526 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x5634...d81a Outcome 28271305, $11,071 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x09f4...dac0 Outcome 28271305, $7,680 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 28271305, $6,400 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x936b...7c51 Outcome 28271305, $5,050 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x78bb...591f Outcome 28271305, $3,436 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x48e0...826d Outcome 28271305, $3,000 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x77e8...6854 Outcome 28271305, $2,531 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xfb13...5946 Outcome 28271305, $2,400 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

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Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

ResolvedAC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio - More Markets$104,440 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea

In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 24 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Cagliari Calcio
56¢
51¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,034 on AC Milan at 51¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

1d ago

$10,000 on AC Milan at 46¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,956 on Cagliari Calcio at 52¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

1d ago

$4,889 on AC Milan at 49¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

2d ago

$1,240 on AC Milan at 49¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

2d ago

$5,519 on Cagliari Calcio at 51¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

2d ago

$3,035 on Cagliari Calcio at 50¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

2d ago

$36,866 on Cagliari Calcio at 50¢

Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)

2d ago

$39,901 on Cagliari Calcio at 50¢

Related Theses