Part of: Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti

Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,931.

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet pressing edge

A 14-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits added another nearly $2k position, buying Musetti at 82¢ before the market moved to 92¢.

This 14-day-old wallet has already been flagged 14 times, with $32.8k in large bets and $7.5k profit so far
They bought Lorenzo Musetti at 82¢ and the market is now 92¢, so the trade is already well in the money
This is fresh conviction from a new but active bettor in a liquid tennis market, not just routine noise

$1,989 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 60%

76% win-rate sports sharp

A high-volume serial sports bettor with a 76% win rate bought Musetti at 83¢ and the market has already moved to 92¢, suggesting this is a followable sharp position despite only one formal signal.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 722 bets and is up $171k lifetime.
They’ve traded 583 markets across 564 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
They bought Musetti at 83¢ and the market is already at 92¢, showing fast confirmation of their view.

$4,974 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 81%

76% win-rate sports grinder

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate bought nearly $10k of the favorite during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the high entry price.

This bettor has won 76% of 722 resolved markets and is up $171k lifetime
They put nearly $10k on Musetti at 89¢ as volume surged 64.5x above normal
The entry is expensive, but it signals confidence in a heavy favorite rather than a small speculative stab

$9,967 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10002746, $23,913 (70% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 10002746, $23,435 (80% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 10002746, $20,549 (53% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10002746, $8,864 (56% win rate)
0x138d...b23e — Outcome 10002746, $7,500
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 10002746, $4,212 (69% win rate)
0xa101...001d — Outcome 10002746, $3,869
0x2dc3...9d67 — Outcome 10002746, $3,795 (37% win rate)
0x5a22...c3b5 — Outcome 10002746, $3,105
0x16db...8d0f — Outcome 10002746, $2,464 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti

ResolvedMadrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti$16,931 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Lorenzo Musetti in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.