Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Vitality in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $211,969.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Six-wallet MOUZ conviction cluster
Six wallets deployed roughly $83,000 toward MOUZ, including a highly profitable 82% bettor, while coordinated flow drove a 27% price increase.
- Six wallets aligned on MOUZ with roughly $83,000 of exposure, including $36,000 shifted from selling Vitality.
- One bettor wins 82% of 83 resolved trades and is up $144,000, while another has a perfect 7-0 record with $22,700 profit.
- The coordinated buying coincided with a 64x volume spike and a 27% move higher, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine liquidity-taking.
$91,169 on MOUZ
Sharp cluster scaling into Vitality
Five wallets added $127,585 to Vitality, including multiple highly profitable bettors, amid a 119.5x volume spike.
- Five wallets concentrated $127,585 on Vitality, with each adding to existing positions rather than making isolated trades.
- Two major participants have exceptional records: 95% across 88 resolved bets and 90% across 63, both substantially above their average entry odds.
- The trades coincided with a 119.5x historical volume spike, while Vitality was bought around 61–62%, close to the current 62% market price.
$80,301 on Vitality
95% winner scaling into MOUZ
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding heavily to MOUZ at 39%, with linked-wallet support.
- This bettor has won 95% of 38 resolved positions and is up $320,752 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,634 to an existing MOUZ position at 39%, despite the market pricing MOUZ near 40%.
- A second wallet sharing the same funder provides additional support for the MOUZ direction.
$9,344 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner scaling into Vitality
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Vitality position at market price.
- This bettor has won 392 of 431 resolved trades—91%—with $402,583 in lifetime profit.
- The $4,940 purchase adds to a $16,468 Vitality position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine one-off trading.
- The 89-event, 92-market track record shows a consistent and highly successful cross-market approach.
$4,940 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% win-rate esports bettor backs MOUZ
A highly experienced and profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is making a fresh $7,000 bet on MOUZ at 40%.
- This bettor has won 340 of 372 resolved trades, with $1.36 million in lifetime profit.
- They are committing $7,000 to MOUZ at 40%, despite the market currently making Vitality the 60% favorite.
- The wallet has traded 578 markets across 464 events, providing an unusually deep track record for this signal.
$7,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
95% winner scaling into MOUZ
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate is adding heavily to MOUZ at 39%, with linked-wallet support.
- This bettor has won 95% of 38 resolved positions and is up $320,752 lifetime.
- They are adding $4,634 to an existing MOUZ position at 39%, despite the market pricing MOUZ near 40%.
- A second wallet sharing the same funder provides additional support for the MOUZ direction.
$4,634 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor scaling into MOUZ
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $11.7K to an existing MOUZ position at 38 cents.
- This bettor has won 92% of 13 resolved positions and is up $847,292 overall.
- They added $11,701 to an existing MOUZ position at 38¢, bringing their investment in the outcome above $43,000.
- MOUZ is priced at 38%, so the entry implies this bettor sees meaningful value against a 62% Vitality market price.
$11,701 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 95%
New wallet scaling into Vitality
A very new wallet is repeatedly scaling into Vitality with a sizable position, though its apparent edge is based on only two resolved bets.
- This 8-hour-old wallet has placed roughly $9,053 across three flagged bets and is adding to its Vitality position.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 with nearly $2,000 in realized profit, but the track record is still very small.
- The $2,880 buy is concentrated in a relatively quiet market and matches the 62% current market estimate.
$2,880 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Vitality, $85,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xf0b6...2fef — Vitality, $81,967 (94% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Vitality, $47,747 (88% win rate)
- 0x1e52...eb43 — Vitality, $43,603 (77% win rate)
- 0xcf8a...2d3c — Vitality, $19,697 (57% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Vitality, $19,492 (87% win rate)
- 0x620b...2e9f — Vitality, $17,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x2f62...dd4d — Vitality, $16,705 (95% win rate)
- 0x14af...ca2c — Vitality, $15,500 (74% win rate)
- 0x5d9b...a5eb — Vitality, $15,084 (35% win rate)
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