Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $80,000 first or fall to $60,000 first between the market’s creation date and December 31, 2026. If BTC hits neither price level during that window, the market resolves 50-50. Traders watching Bitcoin prediction market odds can use this page to follow the market setup, current sentiment, and recent smart money signals.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,413.
Categories: Crypto, Bitcoin, Crypto Prices, Hit First
Notable Trades
92% win-rate bettor
A small but fresh $80k buy from a bettor with a 92% hit rate and strong edge is worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and has beaten market odds by a wide margin.
- They just bought $80k at 57¢ after the market fell 23 points over the past week.
- This is a fresh position after previously closing both sides of this market, not routine profit-taking.
$2,413 on $80k | Wallet win rate: 92%
90% win-rate sharp
A bettor with an exceptional 90% win rate and strong edge is buying the $80k side after a sharp weekly selloff, making this a worthwhile sharp-follow alert despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades with 59 bets tracked and a strong record buying around 48¢
- They bought $80k first at 55¢ after this market fell 21 points in a week, suggesting they see the pullback as mispriced
- The market is liquid enough to follow, with a tight 1¢ spread and entry close to current pricing
$1,000 on $80k | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xd4f9...f619 — $60k, $42,245 (68% win rate)
- 0x071e...a103 — $60k, $33,895
- 0x61ee...932c — $60k, $33,881 (64% win rate)
- 0x55e2...5fc9 — $80k, $28,013 (63% win rate)
- 0xd131...bffb — $80k, $23,808
- 0x5350...5a07 — $80k, $17,734
- 0xddf8...38e8 — $80k, $11,595
- 0x446d...1995 — $80k, $10,754
- 0xb5c2...40d3 — $80k, $9,484
- 0x1a28...da50 — $60k, $9,364
