Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $488,923.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
97% sharp buying favorite
Elite track-record wallet with 97% wins and $414k profit bought Ilia Topuria amid heavy UFC market volume and sharp price movement.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $414k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 97% hit rate.
- Bought Ilia at 73¢ during a 42.8x pre-fight volume spike and rapid market movement.
$7,906 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 96%
95% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable 95% lifetime bettor bought Topuria, with strong cross-market history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
- They have traded 119 markets across 67 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- The market is seeing a 59x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind the Topuria side.
$2,000 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 90%
26-0 sharp joins Topuria cluster
A proven 26-0 profitable wallet bought Topuria at 29¢ amid a large same-direction cluster and major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market's high liquidity.
- This bettor is 26-for-26 on resolved trades and is up $101,648 lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same Topuria side, totaling $88,603 in coordinated flow.
- Entry at 29¢ comes after a major price drop, implying a potential rebound setup.
$1,420 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor joins Topuria cluster
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet sold Gaethje, equivalent to buying Topuria, alongside a large 27-wallet one-sided Topuria flow despite the market moving against them afterward.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $100K lifetime.
- The trade is equivalent to buying Ilia Topuria at 47¢, showing a contrarian view against the current 30¢ market price.
- 27 wallets also bet the Topuria side for $88K total, with some linked funding behind the flow.
$2,871 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new whale cluster
High-conviction Topuria buy from a very profitable 4-day-old repeat whale, backed by 27-wallet same-side flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 57 flagged large bets and is up $384k across early resolved positions.
- 27 wallets bought Topuria in the same window, totaling $88.6k on one side of the fight.
- The market saw a 72.9x volume spike before the event, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.
$10,000 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% sharp in wallet cluster
Elite 95% historical winner with $1.18M profit bought Gaethje alongside a large one-sided wallet cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling $112.7k, including a 13-wallet funded cluster.
- Gaethje is now 26¢ versus this sharp’s 51–52¢ entry, making this a discounted but volatile copy setup.
$23,641 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 95%
22-wallet sharp Topuria cluster
Surface: a 22-wallet Topuria cluster includes multiple proven sharp bettors and a profitable new whale buying the underdog into a major pre-fight move.
- Several strong bettors are on Topuria, including one wallet that has won 91% of 1,006 resolved bets.
- A 4-day-old repeat whale with $384k profit is part of the flow, after $733k in recent flagged bets.
- The market just saw a 75x volume spike, and Topuria is available near 30¢ after some sharp entries came higher.
$74,126 on Ilia Topuria
Sharp joins 21-wallet Gaethje wave
Surface: a highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor joined a 21-wallet one-sided move on Gaethje alongside a major volume spike and sharp price impact.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $617k lifetime.
- 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling $112k on Gaethje.
- The market saw a 46x volume spike and Gaethje’s price moved sharply upward.
$1,870 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp joins 21-wallet Gaethje move
A highly profitable 94% winner is part of a 21-wallet one-sided move toward Gaethje, though this specific trade may be closing a prior Topuria position.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $231k lifetime.
- 21 wallets all moved the same way on Gaethje, totaling $112.7k in one-sided flow.
- Volume spiked 46x and Topuria’s price moved sharply, suggesting a major pre-fight repricing.
$1,782 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 94%
88% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% long-run win rate bought Ilia Topuria at 80% in a very liquid UFC market with elevated pre-event volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $112K lifetime.
- They bought Ilia Topuria at 80%, adding a sharp-money signal to the current favorite.
- Market volume is running 20.8x above its historical pace ahead of the fight.
$1,050 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x2cff...59db — Outcome 40139763, $200,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x86e7...613e — Outcome 40139763, $155,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — Outcome 40139763, $150,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xafba...e61b — Outcome 40139763, $140,475 (70% win rate)
- 0x777d...5143 — Outcome 40139763, $130,785 (60% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Outcome 40139763, $126,499 (99% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 40139763, $116,203 (72% win rate)
- 0x8660...93ed — Outcome 40139763, $99,999 (91% win rate)
- 0xb87b...3626 — Outcome 40139763, $71,439 (50% win rate)
- 0x6eb7...3cd4 — Outcome 40139763, $65,000 (95% win rate)
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