Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
This prediction market covers the UFC Freedom 250 lightweight main card fight between Justin Gaethje and Ilia Topuria, scheduled for June 14, 2026. The market resolves to the fighter officially declared the winner, or 50-50 if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,011 in smart money and 1 recent signal, including an alert that a 93% winner backed the favorite.
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,011.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
93% winner backs favorite
A proven 93% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought the Topuria favorite in a very thin UFC market, with the trade equal to 59% of 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $3,183 lifetime.
- They put $1,011 on Topuria in a thin market, equal to 59% of the last 24h volume.
- Entry at 84¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite bet, though upside is more limited at this price.
$1,011 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x6929...2085 — Ilia Topuria, $3,860 (93% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Justin Gaethje, $3,673 (47% win rate)
- 0x8b8c...c014 — Justin Gaethje, $299
- 0x26cf...c612 — Ilia Topuria, $265 (64% win rate)
- 0xc990...889b — Justin Gaethje, $194
- 0xc6e1...3b95 — Ilia Topuria, $100
- 0xea38...c159 — Justin Gaethje, $83
- 0x11d6...e50e — Ilia Topuria, $12
- 0x8968...c3c1 — Ilia Topuria, $10
- 0x92fc...5941 — Ilia Topuria, $7
