Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
This market will resolve to "Justin Gaethje" if Justin Gaethje is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ilia Topuria" if Ilia Topuria is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $488,923.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
97% sharp buying favorite
Elite track-record wallet with 97% wins and $414k profit bought Ilia Topuria amid heavy UFC market volume and sharp price movement.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $414k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 97% hit rate.
- Bought Ilia at 73¢ during a 42.8x pre-fight volume spike and rapid market movement.
$7,906 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 96%
95% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable 95% lifetime bettor bought Topuria, with strong cross-market history and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
- They have traded 119 markets across 67 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- The market is seeing a 59x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind the Topuria side.
$2,000 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor joins Topuria cluster
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet sold Gaethje, equivalent to buying Topuria, alongside a large 27-wallet one-sided Topuria flow despite the market moving against them afterward.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $100K lifetime.
- The trade is equivalent to buying Ilia Topuria at 47¢, showing a contrarian view against the current 30¢ market price.
- 27 wallets also bet the Topuria side for $88K total, with some linked funding behind the flow.
$2,871 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 92%
26-0 sharp joins Topuria cluster
A proven 26-0 profitable wallet bought Topuria at 29¢ amid a large same-direction cluster and major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market's high liquidity.
- This bettor is 26-for-26 on resolved trades and is up $101,648 lifetime.
- 27 wallets bought the same Topuria side, totaling $88,603 in coordinated flow.
- Entry at 29¢ comes after a major price drop, implying a potential rebound setup.
$1,420 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable new whale cluster
High-conviction Topuria buy from a very profitable 4-day-old repeat whale, backed by 27-wallet same-side flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already made 57 flagged large bets and is up $384k across early resolved positions.
- 27 wallets bought Topuria in the same window, totaling $88.6k on one side of the fight.
- The market saw a 72.9x volume spike before the event, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.
$10,000 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 91%
95% sharp in wallet cluster
Elite 95% historical winner with $1.18M profit bought Gaethje alongside a large one-sided wallet cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling $112.7k, including a 13-wallet funded cluster.
- Gaethje is now 26¢ versus this sharp’s 51–52¢ entry, making this a discounted but volatile copy setup.
$23,641 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 96%
22-wallet sharp Topuria cluster
Surface: a 22-wallet Topuria cluster includes multiple proven sharp bettors and a profitable new whale buying the underdog into a major pre-fight move.
- Several strong bettors are on Topuria, including one wallet that has won 91% of 1,006 resolved bets.
- A 4-day-old repeat whale with $384k profit is part of the flow, after $733k in recent flagged bets.
- The market just saw a 75x volume spike, and Topuria is available near 30¢ after some sharp entries came higher.
$74,126 on Ilia Topuria
Sharp joins 21-wallet Gaethje wave
Surface: a highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor joined a 21-wallet one-sided move on Gaethje alongside a major volume spike and sharp price impact.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $617k lifetime.
- 21 wallets bought the same side, totaling $112k on Gaethje.
- The market saw a 46x volume spike and Gaethje’s price moved sharply upward.
$1,870 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp joins 21-wallet Gaethje move
A highly profitable 94% winner is part of a 21-wallet one-sided move toward Gaethje, though this specific trade may be closing a prior Topuria position.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $231k lifetime.
- 21 wallets all moved the same way on Gaethje, totaling $112.7k in one-sided flow.
- Volume spiked 46x and Topuria’s price moved sharply, suggesting a major pre-fight repricing.
$1,782 on Justin Gaethje | Wallet win rate: 93%
88% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable bettor with an 88% long-run win rate bought Ilia Topuria at 80% in a very liquid UFC market with elevated pre-event volume.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $112K lifetime.
- They bought Ilia Topuria at 80%, adding a sharp-money signal to the current favorite.
- Market volume is running 20.8x above its historical pace ahead of the fight.
$1,050 on Ilia Topuria | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x2cff...59db — Ilia Topuria, $200,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x86e7...613e — Ilia Topuria, $155,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — Ilia Topuria, $150,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xafba...e61b — Ilia Topuria, $140,475 (70% win rate)
- 0x777d...5143 — Ilia Topuria, $130,785 (60% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Ilia Topuria, $126,499 (99% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Ilia Topuria, $116,203 (73% win rate)
- 0x8660...93ed — Ilia Topuria, $99,999 (96% win rate)
- 0xb87b...3626 — Ilia Topuria, $71,439 (51% win rate)
- 0x6eb7...3cd4 — Ilia Topuria, $65,000 (96% win rate)
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